Faster recovery of North Atlantic tropical cyclone-induced cold wakes in recent decades

Intense winds associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) generate surface ocean cooling in their wakes, which can persist for several weeks in their aftermath. While multi-decadal observations of the sea surface have shown a substantial warming of the ocean, long-term changes in cold wake recovery time remain largely unknown. Here we find a trend toward faster recovery of TC cold wakes in the Atlantic main development region (MDR) since 2001. This is due primarily to a decrease in the strength of the North Atlantic trade winds, which reduces evaporative cooling of the ocean. The faster damping of TC cold wakes has led to a significant increase in the intensification of subsequent TCs that encounter lingering wakes from prior TCs, with a magnitude that is about 9% of that from long-term warming of the ocean. Finally, earth system model simulations indicate that the observed decrease in the cold wake recovery time will likely continue into the future.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Published
2025-05-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01029-5
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.30

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Faster recovery of North Atlantic tropical cyclone-induced cold wakes in recent decades

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npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
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article

Faster recovery of North Atlantic tropical cyclone-induced cold wakes in recent decades

Gregory R. Foltz, Karthik Balaguru, Samson Hagos, Effy B. John, Lai-Yung Ruby Leung
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Intense winds associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) generate surface ocean cooling in their wakes, which can persist for several weeks in their aftermath. While multi-decadal observations of the sea surface have shown a substantial warming of the ocean, long-term changes in cold wake recovery time remain largely unknown. Here we find a trend toward faster recovery of TC cold wakes in the Atlantic main development region (MDR) since 2001. This is due primarily to a decrease in the strength of the North Atlantic trade winds, which reduces evaporative cooling of the ocean. The faster damping of TC cold wakes has led to a significant increase in the intensification of subsequent TCs that encounter lingering wakes from prior TCs, with a magnitude that is about 9% of that from long-term warming of the ocean. Finally, earth system model simulations indicate that the observed decrease in the cold wake recovery time will likely continue into the future.

npj Climate and Atmospheric ScienceVol. 8(1)
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (US), NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratories (US)
U.S. Department of Energy, Battelle, National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center, Climate Extremes, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of Science, Biological and Environmental Research, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 23%
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
1.30
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