The Middle East in the Face of a Perfect Storm – The Regional Impact of Israel-Hezbollah Conflict

The signing, in 2020, of the Abraham Accords and the events that followed fuelled the hope that developments in the Middle East could be marked by a cooperative relationship between the main regional rivals, but the fateful day of 7 October 2023 reshaped this space in a manner that inevitably led to a return to a state of confrontation. Thus, tensions in the region are raising fears that a major conflict, with international repercussions, is more a matter of “when” rather than “if” a major war will occur. This is due to the fact that, in the current tense regional context, the marking of about a year of the Hamas-Israel conflict largely coincides with the shift of the Israeli state’s focus on the Hezbollah group, the low-intensity conflict between the two actors turning into one that has literally shaken not only Lebanon, but the entire region.