Constructing a prognostic model for osteosarcoma based on centrosome-related genes and identifying potential therapeutic targets of paclitaxel

The centrosome, a vital component in mitosis in eukaryotes, plays a pivotal role in cancer progression by influencing the proliferation and differentiation of malignant cells, making it a significant therapeutic target. We collected genes associated with centrosomes from existing literature and established a prognostic model for 85 osteosarcoma patients from the TARGET database. Genes associated with prognosis were identified through univariate Cox regression. We then mitigated overfitting by addressing collinearity using LASSO regression. Ultimately, a set of five genes was selected for the model through multivariable Cox regression. Model performance was assessed using ROC curves, which yielded a training set AUC of 0.965 and a validation set AUC of 0.770, indicating satisfactory model performance. We further identified genes with differential expression in high and low-risk groups and conducted functional enrichment analysis using KEGG, GO, Progeny, GSVA, and GSEA. Results revealed significant variances in various immune-related pathways between high and low-risk cohorts. Analysis of the immune microenvironment using ssGSEA and ESTIMATE indicated that individuals with unfavorable prognoses had lower immune scores, stromal scores, and ESTIMATE scores, coupled with higher tumor purity. This suggests that high-risk individuals have compromised immune microenvironments, potentially contributing to their unfavorable prognoses. Additionally, drug sensitivity and molecular docking analysis revealed increased responsiveness to paclitaxel in high-risk individuals, implying its prognostic value. The JTB-encoded protein exhibited a negative binding energy of - 5.5 kcal/mol when interacting with paclitaxel, indicating its potential to enhance the patient's immune microenvironment. This framework enables patient prognosis prediction and sheds light on paclitaxel's mechanism in osteosarcoma treatment, facilitating personalized treatment approaches.