Partisan politics and Fed policy choices: A Taylor rule approach

How do the President and the Congress affect the policy choices of the Federal Open Market Committee, the primary policymaking arm of the Federal Reserve System (the Fed)? I draw on a commonly used tool for estimating the sensitivity of Fed responses to output and inflation - the Taylor rule - to learn about the politics of monetary policy. Does the Fed respond more aggressively to inflation under a Republican President or if a Republican majority controls Congress? Does the Fed respond to recession sooner and with lower interest rates if the President is a Democrat? The results indicate that the ideology of the pivotal legislator influences monetary policy choices, rather than the President alone, appointments to the Board, or the Board chair. The Fed is more responsive to inflation when Republicans control the White House and the Congress.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Government and Economics
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jge.2025.100142
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Fiscal Policies and Political Economy
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.13
Controls
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article

Partisan politics and Fed policy choices: A Taylor rule approach

J. Kevin Corder
1 citations
Journal of Government and Economics
Fiscal Policies and Political Economy
3.13
article

Partisan politics and Fed policy choices: A Taylor rule approach

J. Kevin Corder
article en
1 citations

Abstract

How do the President and the Congress affect the policy choices of the Federal Open Market Committee, the primary policymaking arm of the Federal Reserve System (the Fed)? I draw on a commonly used tool for estimating the sensitivity of Fed responses to output and inflation - the Taylor rule - to learn about the politics of monetary policy. Does the Fed respond more aggressively to inflation under a Republican President or if a Republican majority controls Congress? Does the Fed respond to recession sooner and with lower interest rates if the President is a Democrat? The results indicate that the ideology of the pivotal legislator influences monetary policy choices, rather than the President alone, appointments to the Board, or the Board chair. The Fed is more responsive to inflation when Republicans control the White House and the Congress.

Journal of Government and EconomicsVol. 18
Western Michigan University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Fiscal Policies and Political Economy
3.13
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Partisan politics and Fed policy choices: A Taylor rule approach — J. Kevin Corder · Journal of Government and Economics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS