Hybrid TCN-transformer model for predicting sustainable food supply and ensuring resilience

Major concerns occur in maintaining a sustainable food supply due to population expansion, supply chain interruptions, and climate-related changes. Traditional forecasting models, such as ARIMA, LSTM, and GRU, fail to deal with the dynamic fluctuations and long-range correlations. These methods often have reduced accuracy, high computational cost, and poor generalization when applied to shifting patterns in the food supply system. Based on the abovementioned limitations, this study proposes a Hybrid TCN-Transformer Model by combining the strength of Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN) with Transformer Attention to provide accurate and efficient food supply prediction. Thus, the project's key objective is to develop a deep learning system that effectively handles massive quantities of temporal data while preserving dependence in short and long durations. The proposed method is novel since it integrates TCN's causal convolutions for extracting sequential patterns. It uses a Transformer Model's self-attention mechanism to capture the complex interactions across time steps. Hybrid design enables faster training, increased interpretability, and better prediction accuracy than current methods. Results from experiments have revealed that the suggested model surpasses the performance of the stand-alone TCN, ARIMA, LSTM, and GRU models in terms of accuracy of predictions, efficiency of computations, and adaptability. Findings thus far suggest deep learning-based predictive analytics has helped improve the food supply chain management by mitigating food wastage, making it environmentally resilient.

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Publication Details

Journal
Alexandria Engineering Journal
Published
2025-05-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2025.05.044
Citations
5
Primary Topic
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
10.53
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article

Hybrid TCN-transformer model for predicting sustainable food supply and ensuring resilience

Rasha M. Abd El-Aziz, Ibrahim Alrashdi, Ahmed I. Taloba, Mohammed Farsi
5 citations
Alexandria Engineering Journal
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
10.53
article

Hybrid TCN-transformer model for predicting sustainable food supply and ensuring resilience

Rasha M. Abd El-Aziz, Ibrahim Alrashdi, Ahmed I. Taloba, Mohammed Farsi
article en
5 citations

Abstract

Major concerns occur in maintaining a sustainable food supply due to population expansion, supply chain interruptions, and climate-related changes. Traditional forecasting models, such as ARIMA, LSTM, and GRU, fail to deal with the dynamic fluctuations and long-range correlations. These methods often have reduced accuracy, high computational cost, and poor generalization when applied to shifting patterns in the food supply system. Based on the abovementioned limitations, this study proposes a Hybrid TCN-Transformer Model by combining the strength of Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN) with Transformer Attention to provide accurate and efficient food supply prediction. Thus, the project's key objective is to develop a deep learning system that effectively handles massive quantities of temporal data while preserving dependence in short and long durations. The proposed method is novel since it integrates TCN's causal convolutions for extracting sequential patterns. It uses a Transformer Model's self-attention mechanism to capture the complex interactions across time steps. Hybrid design enables faster training, increased interpretability, and better prediction accuracy than current methods. Results from experiments have revealed that the suggested model surpasses the performance of the stand-alone TCN, ARIMA, LSTM, and GRU models in terms of accuracy of predictions, efficiency of computations, and adaptability. Findings thus far suggest deep learning-based predictive analytics has helped improve the food supply chain management by mitigating food wastage, making it environmentally resilient.

Alexandria Engineering JournalVol. 127
Jouf University (SA), Taibah University (SA)
Zero hunger
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
10.53
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Hybrid TCN-transformer model for predicting sustainable food supply and ensuring resilience — Rasha M. Abd El-Aziz, Ibrahim Alrashdi, et al. · Alexandria Engineering Journal (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS