Enhanced Electric Load Forecasting with Weather and Economic indicators using Machine Learning Models

Electric load forecasting is crucial for efficient energy management.This paper proposes a robust time-series forecasting system that predicts the daily electricity demand using additional features such as the 10-year break-even inflation, weather, unemployment rate and holidays. Among the machine learning models evaluated, CatBoost demonstrated the best performance due to its ability to effectively capture both general trends and seasonal patterns. This work highlights the idea of incorporating economic indicators to improve electricity demand forecasting.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/piicon63519.2024.10995053
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Enhanced Electric Load Forecasting with Weather and Economic indicators using Machine Learning Models

Rahul Satheesh, Nadimenti Praveen, M. Malathi, Nikita Konstantina S.
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Enhanced Electric Load Forecasting with Weather and Economic indicators using Machine Learning Models

Rahul Satheesh, Nadimenti Praveen, M. Malathi, Nikita Konstantina S.
article en

Abstract

Electric load forecasting is crucial for efficient energy management.This paper proposes a robust time-series forecasting system that predicts the daily electricity demand using additional features such as the 10-year break-even inflation, weather, unemployment rate and holidays. Among the machine learning models evaluated, CatBoost demonstrated the best performance due to its ability to effectively capture both general trends and seasonal patterns. This work highlights the idea of incorporating economic indicators to improve electricity demand forecasting.

Amrita Vishwa Vidyapeetham (IN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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