Multi-criteria decision making and its application to in silico discovery of vaccine candidates for Toxoplasma gondii

Vaccine discovery against eukaryotic parasites is not trivial and few exist. Reverse vaccinology is an in silico vaccine discovery approach, designed to identify vaccine candidates from the thousands of protein sequences encoded by a target genome. Previously, we produced the Vacceed bioinformatics pipeline for identification of parasite membrane and excreted/secreted proteins that were likely be exposed to the hosts immune system. More recently, we improved upon machine learning as the final decision-making process to identify parasite proteins that induce a protective response in an animal model. Subsequently, we combined Vacceed with metrics on B and T cell epitope types to produce a new in silico discovery workflow. In this study we extend this in silico workflow to the developability of proteins as vaccines by the incorporation of metrics on the physicochemical properties of proteins. To demonstrate this process, every Toxoplasma gondii protein was ranked in its capacity to provide exposure to the immune system (Vacceed exposure score), presence of epitopes and solubility characteristics by several multicriteria decision making (MCDM) tools (such as TOPSIS, VIKOR and MABAC). A consensus rank was subsequently generated from the results of these tools using a variety of aggregate ranking methods. Levels of uncertainty in the aggregate protein rankings was assessed by conformal interval prediction in association with a machine learning model. Several of the top ranked proteins identified by this approach were novel, uncharacterized membrane transporters or proteins associated with RNA metabolism. In conclusion, MCDM automated the decision making using well known algorithms while conformal prediction intervals varied significantly across the 8000+ proteins of T. gondii. Highly ranked proteins (e.g. the top 100) typically generated low prediction intervals, providing high levels of confidence in their ranks.