Influence of Various Crack Widths in RC Bridge Decks on the Initiation of Chloride-Induced Corrosion

This study investigates the influence of crack width on the time to chloride-induced corrosion initiation in reinforced concrete (RC) bridge decks, incorporating climate change projections through the year 2100 under IPCC scenarios (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5). A probabilistic modelling approach using Monte Carlo simulations (MCSs) was applied to assess corrosion initiation across a range of environmental and structural conditions, including normal and high-performance concrete (HPC), varying concrete cover depths, and the use of supplementary cementing materials (SCMs). The results indicate that increasing the crack width significantly accelerates chloride ingress, reducing the time to corrosion initiation by up to 41% compared with that under uncracked conditions. HPC demonstrated superior durability, delaying corrosion initiation by nearly twice as long as normal concrete under identical chloride exposure. Elevated temperatures projected under high-emission scenarios further reduce service life by increasing chloride diffusion rates. Polynomial regression models were developed to relate crack width and concrete cover to corrosion initiation time, offering practical tools for durability-based design and service life prediction. These findings highlight the importance of enhanced crack control, climate-adaptive material selection, and updated durability standards to improve the resilience of RC bridge infrastructure in the face of climate change.