Automated Risk Prediction of Post-Stroke Adverse Mental Outcomes Using Deep Learning Methods and Sequential Data

Depression and anxiety are common comorbidities of stroke. Research has shown that about 30% of stroke survivors develop depression and about 20% develop anxiety. Stroke survivors with such adverse mental outcomes are often attributed to poorer health outcomes, such as higher mortality rates. The objective of this study is to use deep learning (DL) methods to predict the risk of a stroke survivor experiencing post-stroke depression and/or post-stroke anxiety, which is collectively known as post-stroke adverse mental outcomes (PSAMO). This study studied 179 patients with stroke, who were further classified into PSAMO versus no PSAMO group based on the results of validated depression and anxiety questionnaires, which are the industry's gold standard. This study collected demographic and sociological data, quality of life scores, stroke-related information, medical and medication history, and comorbidities. In addition, sequential data such as daily lab results taken seven consecutive days after admission are also collected. The combination of using DL algorithms, such as multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and long short-term memory (LSTM), which can process complex patterns in the data, and the inclusion of new data types, such as sequential data, helped to improve model performance. Accurate prediction of PSAMO helps clinicians make early intervention care plans and potentially reduce the incidence of PSAMO.