Sunspot cycles for the first millennium BC reconstructed from radiocarbon

Context. The relative sunspot number (SN) is the primary index of solar activity since 1610. For earlier periods, the SN can be reconstructed from the concentrations of cosmogenic isotopes, in particular, 14 C and 10 Be in natural archives. Because the measurement techniques are limited, however, these reconstructions typically provide the SN with a resolution of decades only. Aims. We reconstruct the first annually resolved SNs for the first millennium BC. They provide a detailed view of the solar cycles over a period for which this was not possible before. Methods. We reconstructed the SN from high-precision annual measurements of relative decay-corrected 14 C concentrations, Δ 14 C, that cover 1000 to 2 BC. The process is based on the physics-based approach we developed earlier and has the following four steps: (1) The carbon-cycle model is inverted to reconstruct the production rate of 14 C, Q . (2) The effect of the varying geomagnetic field on Q is accounted for. (3) The open solar magnetic flux is computed. (4) The flux is converted into SN. A Monte Carlo approach is used to account for the uncertainty of the reconstruction. Results. We reconstructed the annually resolved SN covering the first millennium BC. Over this period, we identified 93 complete solar cycles with a mean length of 10.5 years. Twenty-three of these cycles are well defined, 21 are reasonably well defined, and the remainder are poorly defined. Our reconstructed SN and previous decadal reconstructions agree very well, but the SN around 1000–920 BC is higher. We found no significant long-term periodicities beyond the 11-year solar cycle. Conclusions. This reconstruction offers unique insights into the cyclic solar activity for this period of time. This is valuable information for solar dynamo studies and irradiance modelling.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Astronomy and Astrophysics
Published
2025-05-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202555148
Citations
4
Primary Topic
Astro and Planetary Science
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.62

Funders

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article

Sunspot cycles for the first millennium BC reconstructed from radiocarbon

Ilya Usoskin, N. Krivova, Marcus Christl, S. K. Solanki et al.
4 citations
Astronomy and Astrophysics
Astro and Planetary Science
4.62
article

Sunspot cycles for the first millennium BC reconstructed from radiocarbon

Ilya Usoskin, N. Krivova, Marcus Christl, S. K. Solanki, L. Wacker, G. A. Kovaltsov, T. Chatzistergos, N. Brehm
article en
4 citations

Abstract

Context. The relative sunspot number (SN) is the primary index of solar activity since 1610. For earlier periods, the SN can be reconstructed from the concentrations of cosmogenic isotopes, in particular, 14 C and 10 Be in natural archives. Because the measurement techniques are limited, however, these reconstructions typically provide the SN with a resolution of decades only. Aims. We reconstruct the first annually resolved SNs for the first millennium BC. They provide a detailed view of the solar cycles over a period for which this was not possible before. Methods. We reconstructed the SN from high-precision annual measurements of relative decay-corrected 14 C concentrations, Δ 14 C, that cover 1000 to 2 BC. The process is based on the physics-based approach we developed earlier and has the following four steps: (1) The carbon-cycle model is inverted to reconstruct the production rate of 14 C, Q . (2) The effect of the varying geomagnetic field on Q is accounted for. (3) The open solar magnetic flux is computed. (4) The flux is converted into SN. A Monte Carlo approach is used to account for the uncertainty of the reconstruction. Results. We reconstructed the annually resolved SN covering the first millennium BC. Over this period, we identified 93 complete solar cycles with a mean length of 10.5 years. Twenty-three of these cycles are well defined, 21 are reasonably well defined, and the remainder are poorly defined. Our reconstructed SN and previous decadal reconstructions agree very well, but the SN around 1000–920 BC is higher. We found no significant long-term periodicities beyond the 11-year solar cycle. Conclusions. This reconstruction offers unique insights into the cyclic solar activity for this period of time. This is valuable information for solar dynamo studies and irradiance modelling.

Astronomy and AstrophysicsVol. 698
Academy of Finland, European Research Council
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Astro and Planetary Science
4.62
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