From cause to consequence: examining the historic April 2024 rainstorm in the United Arab Emirates through the lens of climate change

In April 2024, the United Arab Emirates experienced unprecedented rainfall, triggering severe flooding and widespread disruption. Here we investigate the driving mechanisms, localized impacts, and potential influence of human-driven climate change on this extraordinary event. Our findings strongly suggest that anthropogenic climate change is amplifying the frequency of extreme events like that of 16 April 2024. The event was primarily fueled by the interaction of a potential vorticity streamer with an active Red Sea Trough, a powerful upper-level jet, and the advection of warm, moisture-laden air from a warmer Arabian Sea. High-resolution satellite data reveal a clear link between urbanization, population density, and the severity of flood impacts in major cities, alongside a remarkable greening of the desert that lingered into the summer months.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Published
2025-05-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01073-1
Citations
10
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
11.05

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article

From cause to consequence: examining the historic April 2024 rainstorm in the United Arab Emirates through the lens of climate change

Ricardo Fonseca, George Zittis, Yesobu Yarragunta, Narendra Nelli et al.
10 citations
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Climate variability and models
11.05
article

From cause to consequence: examining the historic April 2024 rainstorm in the United Arab Emirates through the lens of climate change

Ricardo Fonseca, George Zittis, Yesobu Yarragunta, Narendra Nelli, Diana Francis, Charfeddine Cherif, Andries Jan de Vries
article en
10 citations

Abstract

In April 2024, the United Arab Emirates experienced unprecedented rainfall, triggering severe flooding and widespread disruption. Here we investigate the driving mechanisms, localized impacts, and potential influence of human-driven climate change on this extraordinary event. Our findings strongly suggest that anthropogenic climate change is amplifying the frequency of extreme events like that of 16 April 2024. The event was primarily fueled by the interaction of a potential vorticity streamer with an active Red Sea Trough, a powerful upper-level jet, and the advection of warm, moisture-laden air from a warmer Arabian Sea. High-resolution satellite data reveal a clear link between urbanization, population density, and the severity of flood impacts in major cities, alongside a remarkable greening of the desert that lingered into the summer months.

npj Climate and Atmospheric ScienceVol. 8(1)
Cyprus Institute (CY), Khalifa University of Science and Technology (AE), University of Lausanne (CH)
Khalifa University of Science, Technology and Research, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Climate variability and models
11.05
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From cause to consequence: examining the historic April 2024 rainstorm in the United Arab Emirates through the lens of climate change — Ricardo Fonseca, George Zittis, et al. · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS