Multi-Location and Multi-Feature LMP Forecasting: A 2D Spatiotemporal LSTM-CNN Approach

Accurate Locational Marginal Price (LMP) forecasting is crucial for effective energy procurement in electricity markets, as it helps utilities make informed, cost-efficient decisions. This study addresses the limitations of traditional models by introducing a 2D spatiotemporal LSTM-CNN model that utilizes multi-location and multi-feature inputs to improve forecast accuracy specifically for Batangas I Electric Cooperative, Inc. (BATELEC I). Using the Dynamic Interval Price Collection (DIPC) dataset from the Independent Electricity Market Operator of the Philippines (IEMOP), which provides 5-minute interval data from June 2021 to August 2024, the model captures short-term price fluctuations across resource locations. Results indicate that the 2D Multi-Features and Multi-Locations LSTM-CNN model outperforms 1D and 3D configurations, achieving the lowest RMSE of 5.0976E-03 and effectively capturing spatial and temporal dependencies. These findings support improved decision-making in electricity markets, with future applications in real-time adaptive forecasting for enhanced market responsiveness.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-02-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/cpeee64598.2025.10987231
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Multi-Location and Multi-Feature LMP Forecasting: A 2D Spatiotemporal LSTM-CNN Approach

Enrique D. Festijo, Gerard Francesco DG. Apolinario, Dylan Josh Domingo Lopez, Noelyn M. De Jesus
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Multi-Location and Multi-Feature LMP Forecasting: A 2D Spatiotemporal LSTM-CNN Approach

Enrique D. Festijo, Gerard Francesco DG. Apolinario, Dylan Josh Domingo Lopez, Noelyn M. De Jesus
article en

Abstract

Accurate Locational Marginal Price (LMP) forecasting is crucial for effective energy procurement in electricity markets, as it helps utilities make informed, cost-efficient decisions. This study addresses the limitations of traditional models by introducing a 2D spatiotemporal LSTM-CNN model that utilizes multi-location and multi-feature inputs to improve forecast accuracy specifically for Batangas I Electric Cooperative, Inc. (BATELEC I). Using the Dynamic Interval Price Collection (DIPC) dataset from the Independent Electricity Market Operator of the Philippines (IEMOP), which provides 5-minute interval data from June 2021 to August 2024, the model captures short-term price fluctuations across resource locations. Results indicate that the 2D Multi-Features and Multi-Locations LSTM-CNN model outperforms 1D and 3D configurations, achieving the lowest RMSE of 5.0976E-03 and effectively capturing spatial and temporal dependencies. These findings support improved decision-making in electricity markets, with future applications in real-time adaptive forecasting for enhanced market responsiveness.

Chung Yuan Christian University (TW), Technological Institute of the Philippines (PH)
Openalex Percentile: Top 92%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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