SCENARIO FORECASTING OF PARAMETERS OF AGROFOOD SYSTEMS OF REGIONS TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE CRITERIA OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

The set of sustainable development requirements defined by modern program documents gives rise to a complex systemic problem, the solution of which directly depends on the creation of adequate tools for analyzing strategic directions of sustainable development of agri-food systems of various levels. The authors of this article aimed to conduct model experiments using the information and analytical system of low-carbon transformation Decarbon-CX to assess structural shifts in agricultural sectors and substantiate the strategy for sustainable development of regional agri-food systems in the context of adaptation to climate change. Decarbon-CX, unlike other modeling systems considered in this article, is a completely domestic development based on extensive regional statistics. As a result of model calculations, the system demonstrated its capabilities for assessing the dynamics of low-carbon transformation processes, both in simulation and optimization variants. Decarbon-CX can be used in the process of preparing a sustainable development strategy in order to successfully implement the tasks of social, economic development and preservation of the ecology of regions.