Foresight of the Energy Transition Within the Framework of the Climate Agenda and Conditions of Geopolitical Turbulence

Currently, the world community is facing the acute problem of climate change, the consequences of which have a significant impact on the environment, food security, life and health of people around the world. Both environmental and social spheres are under threat. Greenhouse gas emissions emitted as a result of anthropogenic activities are peculiar catalysts of this process. The study of climate change problems and the development of measures aimed at the formation of energy security is on the agenda of many leading companies in the world. This paper analyzes the forecasts of energy sector development scenarios from IRENA World energy transitions-2022 and E.ON Forecast Digest Zeroing in on the Energy Transition-2022 in the prism of the climate agenda, as well as non-financial disclosure reports of a number of major energy companies, such as ExxonMobil, BP, Shell. In addition, the authors provide their own alternative development forecast, based on the current geopolitical situation and life-cycle analysis of renewable energy production, related to opacity, carbon footprint and environmental impact produced.