Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting-Based Kernel Ridge Regression

The modern energy landscape is undergoing a seismic change from traditional, finite energy sources and toward cleaner, renewable alternatives. The restrictions faced by traditional sources, which are not only finite but increasingly shrink in the face of burgeoning global energy demands driven by population increase and industrial expansion, are driving this change. Although promising, renewable energy poses complications, particularly the reliance on climatic conditions. An important aspect of addressing these difficulties is effective energy management within distribution systems, which includes forecasting and optimization phases. This research focuses on forecasting using an advanced machine learning (ML) approach. Accurately forecasting renewable energy generation over time is critical for improving energy management. This technique is evaluated using a variety of performance indicators, including Mean Error (ME), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and the Coefficient of Determination (R<sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup>). Empirical studies support the method's usefulness, demonstrating noteworthy performance with low error rates.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-02-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/ai2e64943.2025.10983092
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
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article

Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting-Based Kernel Ridge Regression

Manel Marweni, Majdi Mansouri, Mansour Hajji, Mohamed Faouzi Mimouni
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
article

Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting-Based Kernel Ridge Regression

Manel Marweni, Majdi Mansouri, Mansour Hajji, Mohamed Faouzi Mimouni
article en

Abstract

The modern energy landscape is undergoing a seismic change from traditional, finite energy sources and toward cleaner, renewable alternatives. The restrictions faced by traditional sources, which are not only finite but increasingly shrink in the face of burgeoning global energy demands driven by population increase and industrial expansion, are driving this change. Although promising, renewable energy poses complications, particularly the reliance on climatic conditions. An important aspect of addressing these difficulties is effective energy management within distribution systems, which includes forecasting and optimization phases. This research focuses on forecasting using an advanced machine learning (ML) approach. Accurately forecasting renewable energy generation over time is critical for improving energy management. This technique is evaluated using a variety of performance indicators, including Mean Error (ME), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and the Coefficient of Determination (R<sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup>). Empirical studies support the method's usefulness, demonstrating noteworthy performance with low error rates.

University of Monastir (TN), Ecole Nationale d'Ingénieurs de Monastir, Sultan Qaboos University (OM), University of Kairouan (TN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 95%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
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