Drought risk assessment in East Slovakia using SPI and RDI at different time scales

Abstract Drought monitoring has become a crucial issue around the world due to the increasing climate change. Numerous drought indices can be used for the analysis and predicting the interarrival time of different droughts. In the current study, spatial and temporal variability of droughts in East Slovakia are analyzed using RDI and SPI calculated in 3, 6, and 12 timescales reflecting various physical types of droughts. Drought analysis is done for data from seven meteorological stations for 50 years covering the period from 1972 to 2022. The 3 months SPI and RDI are used to detect the short-term/meteorological drought, 6 months SPI and RDI are used to detect the mid-term/agriculture drought but 12 months SPI or RDI are used to detect long-term/hydrological drought. ArcGIS Pro is used to represent the spacial distribution of all the results.The drought trends were analyzed using Mann- Kendall non-parametric statistical test. The occurrence of historical drought was also clasified according to their severity (moderate, severe and extreme drought). The results show a good relationship between short-term and mid-term SPI and RDI. However, the results of RDI-12 has a smaller time interface, ie drought identification is faster than with SPI-12 which indicate that RDI-12 is further sensitive than SPI-12. Generally, RDI gave better results than SPI highlighting the importance of considering evapotranspiration in drought assessments which is important when identifying long-term drought. Mann–Kendall test identified the significant negative trend in series of RDI 6, 12 time scales in Kamenica and Cirochou station. Implementing measures to minimize the negative effects of mid and long-term droughts on surface and groundwater levels, as well as on aquatic fauna and flora, is important for the area around the Kamenica and Cirochou station.

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Publication Details

Journal
Natural Hazards
Published
2025-05-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07274-4
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.11

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article

Drought risk assessment in East Slovakia using SPI and RDI at different time scales

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article

Drought risk assessment in East Slovakia using SPI and RDI at different time scales

Patrik Nagy, Hany Farhat Abd-Elhamid, Martina Zeleňáková, Tatiana Soľáková, Helena Hlavatá, Pavol Purcz, Kabral Mogos Asghede
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Abstract Drought monitoring has become a crucial issue around the world due to the increasing climate change. Numerous drought indices can be used for the analysis and predicting the interarrival time of different droughts. In the current study, spatial and temporal variability of droughts in East Slovakia are analyzed using RDI and SPI calculated in 3, 6, and 12 timescales reflecting various physical types of droughts. Drought analysis is done for data from seven meteorological stations for 50 years covering the period from 1972 to 2022. The 3 months SPI and RDI are used to detect the short-term/meteorological drought, 6 months SPI and RDI are used to detect the mid-term/agriculture drought but 12 months SPI or RDI are used to detect long-term/hydrological drought. ArcGIS Pro is used to represent the spacial distribution of all the results.The drought trends were analyzed using Mann- Kendall non-parametric statistical test. The occurrence of historical drought was also clasified according to their severity (moderate, severe and extreme drought). The results show a good relationship between short-term and mid-term SPI and RDI. However, the results of RDI-12 has a smaller time interface, ie drought identification is faster than with SPI-12 which indicate that RDI-12 is further sensitive than SPI-12. Generally, RDI gave better results than SPI highlighting the importance of considering evapotranspiration in drought assessments which is important when identifying long-term drought. Mann–Kendall test identified the significant negative trend in series of RDI 6, 12 time scales in Kamenica and Cirochou station. Implementing measures to minimize the negative effects of mid and long-term droughts on surface and groundwater levels, as well as on aquatic fauna and flora, is important for the area around the Kamenica and Cirochou station.

Natural HazardsVol. 121(10)
Technical University of Košice (SK), Zagazig University (EG), University of Miskolc (HU), Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute (SK), University of Asmara (ER)
Agentúra na Podporu Výskumu a Vývoja, Agentúra Ministerstva Školstva, Vedy, Výskumu a Športu SR
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
1.11
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