Improving Basketball Prediction Performance with Graph Attention Networks and K-means Clustering

This paper proposes a novel framework that incorporates Graph Attention Networks and a K-means-based feature selection method to predict the outcomes of basketball games. It creates a graph for a team, selects the representative features by different clustering configurations (K=3,4,5), and trains the GAT model to capture the inter-team complex relationships. The experimental results of the NBA dataset, from 2012 to 2018, provide the best accuracy of 0.7857 when K = 4 and the number of top features is chosen to be 5. It also performs much better compared to PCA and LASSO. Therefore, the clustering integrated with GAT elevates feature selection and uplifts predictive performance, which henceforth makes it strong in terms of sports analytics.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3723936.3723970
Primary Topic
Data Mining Algorithms and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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Improving Basketball Prediction Performance with Graph Attention Networks and K-means Clustering

Qian Huang, Z. G. Chen, Guangxin Tan, Kai Zhao et al.
Data Mining Algorithms and Applications
article

Improving Basketball Prediction Performance with Graph Attention Networks and K-means Clustering

Qian Huang, Z. G. Chen, Guangxin Tan, Kai Zhao, Jinluo Axi
article en

Abstract

This paper proposes a novel framework that incorporates Graph Attention Networks and a K-means-based feature selection method to predict the outcomes of basketball games. It creates a graph for a team, selects the representative features by different clustering configurations (K=3,4,5), and trains the GAT model to capture the inter-team complex relationships. The experimental results of the NBA dataset, from 2012 to 2018, provide the best accuracy of 0.7857 when K = 4 and the number of top features is chosen to be 5. It also performs much better compared to PCA and LASSO. Therefore, the clustering integrated with GAT elevates feature selection and uplifts predictive performance, which henceforth makes it strong in terms of sports analytics.

South China Normal University (CN), Southwestern University of Finance and Economics (CN), Chengdu Sport University (CN), Guangdong Polytechnic Normal University (CN), Wuhan Sports University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 52%
Data Mining Algorithms and Applications
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