Short-term intersection traffic prediction based on quadratic decomposition framework and two BiLSTM hybrid models

Accurate and reliable short-term traffic flow forecasts play a vital role in improving traffic efficiency, optimizing traffic layout, improving public travel experience, and improving emergency management capabilities. This study provides a hybrid prediction model consisting of Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) and Improved Variational Mode Decomposition (WVMD) to decompose the original sequence into a series of modal functions, solving the problem of a single decomposition method is difficult to fully extract and separate different characteristic information of the sequence. Fuzzy entropy divides the intrinsic mode function (IMF) into high-frequency IMF and low-frequency IMF. In response to the problem of low prediction accuracy and difficulty in effectively predicting sequences with differences in volatility in the study of a single prediction model, we proposed a hybrid model that uses ABiLSTM and CNN-MABiLSTM for prediction. Compared with other eleven benchmark models and commonly used hybrid models on the data set at the intersection, it shows the best results, with high accuracy and applicability.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-05-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3067090
Primary Topic
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Type
article
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article

Short-term intersection traffic prediction based on quadratic decomposition framework and two BiLSTM hybrid models

Yanyi Zhang, Liuyang Gao, Bingshuo Zhang, Haonan Li et al.
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
article

Short-term intersection traffic prediction based on quadratic decomposition framework and two BiLSTM hybrid models

Yanyi Zhang, Liuyang Gao, Bingshuo Zhang, Haonan Li, Xiaoxia Lin
article en

Abstract

Accurate and reliable short-term traffic flow forecasts play a vital role in improving traffic efficiency, optimizing traffic layout, improving public travel experience, and improving emergency management capabilities. This study provides a hybrid prediction model consisting of Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) and Improved Variational Mode Decomposition (WVMD) to decompose the original sequence into a series of modal functions, solving the problem of a single decomposition method is difficult to fully extract and separate different characteristic information of the sequence. Fuzzy entropy divides the intrinsic mode function (IMF) into high-frequency IMF and low-frequency IMF. In response to the problem of low prediction accuracy and difficulty in effectively predicting sequences with differences in volatility in the study of a single prediction model, we proposed a hybrid model that uses ABiLSTM and CNN-MABiLSTM for prediction. Compared with other eleven benchmark models and commonly used hybrid models on the data set at the intersection, it shows the best results, with high accuracy and applicability.

Shandong University of Finance and Economics (CN), Shandong University of Science and Technology (CN)
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 90%
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
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Short-term intersection traffic prediction based on quadratic decomposition framework and two BiLSTM hybrid models — Yanyi Zhang, Liuyang Gao, et al. · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS