Algorithm for Modelling Stochastic Systems Using Dynamic Probabilistic Automata

This paper presents a novel approach to modeling stochastic systems using Dynamic Probabilistic Automata (DPA), which integrates deterministic and stochastic elements within a unified framework. Traditional methods, such as Markov chains or mass service systems, often struggle with high-dimensional state spaces and complex interactions. DPA overcomes these limitations by enabling flexible modeling of systems with a high degree of uncertainty. It combines probabilistic transitions, deterministic rules, and external influences, making it suitable for diverse applications in biology, economics, physics, and beyond. The proposed methodology supports custom interaction rules, scenario forecasting, and computational optimization. It includes a hierarchical structure that connects stochastic processes, individual object properties, and aggregated meta-states, culminating in a global “world” model. This layered design enables the modeling of complex phenomena, such as rare events, dynamic environmental influences, and high-dimensional interactions. An important feature is DPA's ability to address inverse modeling problems, identifying potential configurations and rules leading to specific outcomes. This has significant implications for decision support systems, optimization tasks, and risk analysis. Future work involves enhancing this framework with big data capabilities, machine learning for parameter calibration, and parallel computing for real-time applications. The flexibility and adaptability of the DPA approach establish it as a powerful tool for advancing our understanding and management of complex systems under uncertainty.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Published
2025-03-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/smartindustrycon65166.2025.10986230
Primary Topic
Advanced Database Systems and Queries
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Algorithm for Modelling Stochastic Systems Using Dynamic Probabilistic Automata

Pavel A. Panilov, T. Yu. Tsibizova, Maxim A. Komardin
Advanced Database Systems and Queries
article

Algorithm for Modelling Stochastic Systems Using Dynamic Probabilistic Automata

Pavel A. Panilov, T. Yu. Tsibizova, Maxim A. Komardin
article en

Abstract

This paper presents a novel approach to modeling stochastic systems using Dynamic Probabilistic Automata (DPA), which integrates deterministic and stochastic elements within a unified framework. Traditional methods, such as Markov chains or mass service systems, often struggle with high-dimensional state spaces and complex interactions. DPA overcomes these limitations by enabling flexible modeling of systems with a high degree of uncertainty. It combines probabilistic transitions, deterministic rules, and external influences, making it suitable for diverse applications in biology, economics, physics, and beyond. The proposed methodology supports custom interaction rules, scenario forecasting, and computational optimization. It includes a hierarchical structure that connects stochastic processes, individual object properties, and aggregated meta-states, culminating in a global “world” model. This layered design enables the modeling of complex phenomena, such as rare events, dynamic environmental influences, and high-dimensional interactions. An important feature is DPA's ability to address inverse modeling problems, identifying potential configurations and rules leading to specific outcomes. This has significant implications for decision support systems, optimization tasks, and risk analysis. Future work involves enhancing this framework with big data capabilities, machine learning for parameter calibration, and parallel computing for real-time applications. The flexibility and adaptability of the DPA approach establish it as a powerful tool for advancing our understanding and management of complex systems under uncertainty.

Bauman Moscow State Technical University (RU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 90%
Advanced Database Systems and Queries
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.