Effect of Pension Asset Investment Strategy on Development of Nigeria Capital Market a Time Series Analysis (2014 - 2022)

This study examined how exchange rate depreciation affects the overall price level in Nigeria. It utilized advanced econometric methods, including the Variance Inflation Factor, stationarity testing through the Augmented Dickey-Fuller technique, Johansen Cointegration, and the Error Correction Mechanism to analyze adjustment speeds. Additionally, tests for normality and model stability were carried out. The results indicate that a depreciating exchange rate significantly contributes to rising price levels. Similar effects were observed with imports and inflation, aligning with the study’s initial expectations. Consequently, the research suggests adopting a fixed exchange rate system to curb excessive volatility and recommends import substitution policies to tackle import-driven inflation, thereby helping to control the persistent rise in general prices.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Scientific Research and Management (IJSRM)
Published
2025-05-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18535/ijsrm/v13i05.em05
Primary Topic
Insurance and Financial Risk Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Effect of Pension Asset Investment Strategy on Development of Nigeria Capital Market a Time Series Analysis (2014 - 2022)

Sani Usman Gurowa, Salisu Ibrahim Iro
International Journal of Scientific Research and Management (IJSRM)
Insurance and Financial Risk Management
article

Effect of Pension Asset Investment Strategy on Development of Nigeria Capital Market a Time Series Analysis (2014 - 2022)

Sani Usman Gurowa, Salisu Ibrahim Iro
article en

Abstract

This study examined how exchange rate depreciation affects the overall price level in Nigeria. It utilized advanced econometric methods, including the Variance Inflation Factor, stationarity testing through the Augmented Dickey-Fuller technique, Johansen Cointegration, and the Error Correction Mechanism to analyze adjustment speeds. Additionally, tests for normality and model stability were carried out. The results indicate that a depreciating exchange rate significantly contributes to rising price levels. Similar effects were observed with imports and inflation, aligning with the study’s initial expectations. Consequently, the research suggests adopting a fixed exchange rate system to curb excessive volatility and recommends import substitution policies to tackle import-driven inflation, thereby helping to control the persistent rise in general prices.

International Journal of Scientific Research and Management (IJSRM)Vol. 13(05)
Taraba State University (NG), University of Abuja (NG)
Openalex Percentile: Top 86%
Insurance and Financial Risk Management
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