Environmental Benefits Evaluation of a Bike-Sharing System in the Boston Area: A Longitudinal Study

With increasing concerns over climate change and air pollution, sustainable transportation has become a critical component of modern city planning. Bike-sharing systems have emerged as an eco-friendly alternative to motorized transport, contributing to energy conservation and emission reduction. To elaborate on bike-sharing’s contribution to urban sustainable development, this study conducts a quantitative analysis of its environmental benefits through a case study of the Bluebikes program in the Boston area, using a longitudinal dataset of 20.07 million bike trips from January 2015 to December 2024, with data between January 2020 and December 2021 excluded. A combination of Scheiner’s model and Multinomial Logit model was adopted to evaluate the substitution of Bluebikes trips, an optimized Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model was employed to predict future usage, while energy savings were calculated by estimating reductions in gasoline and diesel consumption. The findings reveal that during the analyzed period, Bluebikes trips saved 2616.44 tons of oil equivalent and reduced CO2 and NOX emissions by 7614.96 and 16.43 tons, respectively. Furthermore, based on the historical trends, it is forecasted that the Bluebikes program will annually save an average of 723.66 tons of oil equivalent and decrease CO2 and NOX emissions by 2422.65 and 4.52 tons between 2025 and 2027. The results highlight the substantial environmental impact of Bluebikes and support policies that encourage their usage.