Mapping Regional Meteorological Processes to Ozone Variability in the North China Plain and the Yangtze River Delta, China

High-concentration ozone threatens human health and ecosystems, modulated by dynamic, multiscale meteorological processes. Existing machine learning studies for ozone prediction rarely incorporate the spatiotemporal evolution of regional meteorological fields (STRMFs), limiting the explanatory power of meteorological drivers in ozone variability. Thus, a sequential convolutional long short-term memory network framework (CNN-LSTM) was designed to utilize the STRMFs for ozone prediction. Scenarios incorporating STRMFs across multiple spatiotemporal scales were constructed using Global Forecast System (GFS) data sets. Model performance was evaluated in terms of ozone concentration prediction accuracy (AOCP) and precision in forecasting high-ozone pollution events (PHOE) across key Chinese regions. Appropriate expansion of meteorological data spatiotemporal scale enhanced AOCP, with notable improvements in PHOE, demonstrating ozone variability's dependence on multiscale meteorological processes. Leveraging meteorological data that better represent real atmospheric conditions improved AOCP. The CNN-LSTM framework explained over 85% of daily ozone variability through STRMF integration, successfully resolving how ozone concentration variations in key regions responded to typhoon positional shifts. This methodology enables timely pollution alerts while elucidating the critical role of regional meteorological processes in ozone pollution.

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Publication Details

Journal
Environmental Science & Technology
Published
2025-05-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.4c11988
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.60

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article

Mapping Regional Meteorological Processes to Ozone Variability in the North China Plain and the Yangtze River Delta, China

Pinhua Xie, Jin Xu, Youtao Li, Xin Tian et al.
2 citations
Environmental Science & Technology
Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
2.60
article

Mapping Regional Meteorological Processes to Ozone Variability in the North China Plain and the Yangtze River Delta, China

Pinhua Xie, Jin Xu, Youtao Li, Xin Tian, Qiang Zhang, Hu Feng, Zhidong Zhang, Wenqing Liu, Yanhong Lv
article en
2 citations

Abstract

High-concentration ozone threatens human health and ecosystems, modulated by dynamic, multiscale meteorological processes. Existing machine learning studies for ozone prediction rarely incorporate the spatiotemporal evolution of regional meteorological fields (STRMFs), limiting the explanatory power of meteorological drivers in ozone variability. Thus, a sequential convolutional long short-term memory network framework (CNN-LSTM) was designed to utilize the STRMFs for ozone prediction. Scenarios incorporating STRMFs across multiple spatiotemporal scales were constructed using Global Forecast System (GFS) data sets. Model performance was evaluated in terms of ozone concentration prediction accuracy (AOCP) and precision in forecasting high-ozone pollution events (PHOE) across key Chinese regions. Appropriate expansion of meteorological data spatiotemporal scale enhanced AOCP, with notable improvements in PHOE, demonstrating ozone variability's dependence on multiscale meteorological processes. Leveraging meteorological data that better represent real atmospheric conditions improved AOCP. The CNN-LSTM framework explained over 85% of daily ozone variability through STRMF integration, successfully resolving how ozone concentration variations in key regions responded to typhoon positional shifts. This methodology enables timely pollution alerts while elucidating the critical role of regional meteorological processes in ozone pollution.

Environmental Science & TechnologyVol. 59(19)
University of Science and Technology of China (CN), Anhui University (CN), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Hefei Institutes of Physical Science (CN), Anhui Institute of Optics and Fine Mechanics (CN), National Science Centre (PL), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Optica (US)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Chinese Academy of Sciences, National Key Research and Development Program of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 12%
Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
2.60
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