Tests on Dynamic Ranking

In this paper, we investigate the dynamic Bradley-Terry model, a highly acclaimed statistical ranking model, and tackle several crucial inference problems related to score functions and rank properties.Specifically, we tackle the test problems of score function variation and pairwise similarity, providing valuable insights for model determination and simplification.We derive asymptotic null distributions for the proposed test statistics and prove the tests' consistency.Furthermore, we introduce a novel confidence band of dynamic rank and establish an innovative and generally applicable test framework for dynamic ranking properties.To overcome the conservativeness issue brought by the supreme form statistics, we introduce a novel approach based on signed score difference statistics for ranking inferences.We present theoretical guarantees for the proposed scheme.Numerical simulations validate the theories and demonstrate the satisfactory performance of our methods.The proposed methods are applied to a real dataset, yielding insightful results.

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Publication Details

Journal
Statistica Sinica
Published
2025-05-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5705/ss.202024.0153
Primary Topic
Game Theory and Voting Systems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Tests on Dynamic Ranking

Song Kai, Xinyu Tian, Nan Lü, Jian Shi
Statistica Sinica
Game Theory and Voting Systems
article

Tests on Dynamic Ranking

Song Kai, Xinyu Tian, Nan Lü, Jian Shi
article en

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the dynamic Bradley-Terry model, a highly acclaimed statistical ranking model, and tackle several crucial inference problems related to score functions and rank properties.Specifically, we tackle the test problems of score function variation and pairwise similarity, providing valuable insights for model determination and simplification.We derive asymptotic null distributions for the proposed test statistics and prove the tests' consistency.Furthermore, we introduce a novel confidence band of dynamic rank and establish an innovative and generally applicable test framework for dynamic ranking properties.To overcome the conservativeness issue brought by the supreme form statistics, we introduce a novel approach based on signed score difference statistics for ranking inferences.We present theoretical guarantees for the proposed scheme.Numerical simulations validate the theories and demonstrate the satisfactory performance of our methods.The proposed methods are applied to a real dataset, yielding insightful results.

Statistica Sinica
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 86%
Game Theory and Voting Systems
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Tests on Dynamic Ranking — Song Kai, Xinyu Tian, et al. · Statistica Sinica (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS