Economic distress, democratic quality, and satisfaction with democracy in Europe during COVID-19: A multilevel approach

This study examines how economic distress and democratic quality influenced individuals’ satisfaction with democracy across 27 European countries during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using multilevel mixed-effects models, we find that economic distress significantly reduced satisfaction with democracy, particularly during the pandemic period. This relationship is shaped not only by individual-level conditions but also by the severity of the pandemic at the national level, which amplifies dissatisfaction and intensifies the negative impact of economic distress. While redistributive policies, such as pandemic-related financial assistance, enhance satisfaction, they do not fully offset the adverse effects of distress. In contrast, targeted unemployment spending helps alleviate the negative impact of economic hardship, while income inequality exacerbates it. Finally, higher democratic quality and greater trust in government buffer the negative consequences of pandemic severity. These findings underscore the critical role of well-designed redistributive policies and resilient democratic institutions in maintaining public support for democracy during systemic crises. • Economic distress reduced satisfaction with democracy, especially during the pandemic. • High pandemic severity and stringent policies worsened its effect on satisfaction. • Income inequality worsened the impact of distress on satisfaction with democracy. • Redistributive policies eased the effect of distress on democratic satisfaction. • Democratic quality and trust in government buffered pandemic-related dissatisfaction.

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Publication Details

Journal
Economic Modelling
Published
2025-05-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107137
Primary Topic
Populism, Right-Wing Movements
Type
article
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article

Economic distress, democratic quality, and satisfaction with democracy in Europe during COVID-19: A multilevel approach

Paola Barbara, Cavusoglu Tarkan, Poma Erica
Economic Modelling
Populism, Right-Wing Movements
article

Economic distress, democratic quality, and satisfaction with democracy in Europe during COVID-19: A multilevel approach

Paola Barbara, Cavusoglu Tarkan, Poma Erica
article en

Abstract

This study examines how economic distress and democratic quality influenced individuals’ satisfaction with democracy across 27 European countries during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using multilevel mixed-effects models, we find that economic distress significantly reduced satisfaction with democracy, particularly during the pandemic period. This relationship is shaped not only by individual-level conditions but also by the severity of the pandemic at the national level, which amplifies dissatisfaction and intensifies the negative impact of economic distress. While redistributive policies, such as pandemic-related financial assistance, enhance satisfaction, they do not fully offset the adverse effects of distress. In contrast, targeted unemployment spending helps alleviate the negative impact of economic hardship, while income inequality exacerbates it. Finally, higher democratic quality and greater trust in government buffer the negative consequences of pandemic severity. These findings underscore the critical role of well-designed redistributive policies and resilient democratic institutions in maintaining public support for democracy during systemic crises. • Economic distress reduced satisfaction with democracy, especially during the pandemic. • High pandemic severity and stringent policies worsened its effect on satisfaction. • Income inequality worsened the impact of distress on satisfaction with democracy. • Redistributive policies eased the effect of distress on democratic satisfaction. • Democratic quality and trust in government buffered pandemic-related dissatisfaction.

Economic ModellingVol. 150
University of Modena and Reggio Emilia (IT), Hacettepe University (TR)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 89%
Populism, Right-Wing Movements
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