ENSO‐Driven Seasonal Variability in Near‐Surface Wind Speed and Wind Power Potential Across China

Abstract Seasonal variations in near‐surface wind speed (NSWS) significantly impact wind energy production, yet the role of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in shaping these variations remains insufficiently explored. This study investigates ENSO‐driven seasonal NSWS variability across China and their implications for wind power density (WPD). We demonstrate that ENSO exerts strongly season‐dependent impacts on WPD in subregions, spanning the ENSO‐developing summer to the decaying summer. During these active ENSO phases, 15%–50% of stations within that regions exhibit WPD anomalies exceeding ±10% relative to their seasonal climatology in response to a 1°C sea surface temperature change in the central‐eastern Pacific during the ENSO peak winter. Furthermore, 850 hPa wind speeds show coherent variations with NSWS, indicating a strong dynamic connection between the lower troposphere and surface. These findings deepen our understanding of ENSO's influence in driving seasonal wind resources, providing actionable insights for regional wind energy management and strategic resource planning.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2025-05-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl115537
Citations
12
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
8.77

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article

ENSO‐Driven Seasonal Variability in Near‐Surface Wind Speed and Wind Power Potential Across China

Cheng Shen, Zhibo Li, Deliang Chen, Ming Sun
12 citations
Geophysical Research Letters
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
8.77
article

ENSO‐Driven Seasonal Variability in Near‐Surface Wind Speed and Wind Power Potential Across China

Cheng Shen, Zhibo Li, Deliang Chen, Ming Sun
article en
12 citations

Abstract

Abstract Seasonal variations in near‐surface wind speed (NSWS) significantly impact wind energy production, yet the role of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in shaping these variations remains insufficiently explored. This study investigates ENSO‐driven seasonal NSWS variability across China and their implications for wind power density (WPD). We demonstrate that ENSO exerts strongly season‐dependent impacts on WPD in subregions, spanning the ENSO‐developing summer to the decaying summer. During these active ENSO phases, 15%–50% of stations within that regions exhibit WPD anomalies exceeding ±10% relative to their seasonal climatology in response to a 1°C sea surface temperature change in the central‐eastern Pacific during the ENSO peak winter. Furthermore, 850 hPa wind speeds show coherent variations with NSWS, indicating a strong dynamic connection between the lower troposphere and surface. These findings deepen our understanding of ENSO's influence in driving seasonal wind resources, providing actionable insights for regional wind energy management and strategic resource planning.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 52(9)
Anhui Provincial Meteorological Bureau (CN), University of Gothenburg (SE), Tsinghua University (CN)
Lanzhou University, Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas, Vetenskapsrådet, Nanjing University, Stiftelsen Längmanska Kulturfonden
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
8.77
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ENSO‐Driven Seasonal Variability in Near‐Surface Wind Speed and Wind Power Potential Across China — Cheng Shen, Zhibo Li, et al. · Geophysical Research Letters (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS