Programmatic mapping and population size estimation of key population in India: Method and findings
India has the world's second-largest HIV burden. Key populations of female sex workers (FSW), men who have sex with men (MSM), hijra/transgender (H/TG) people, and people who inject drugs (PWID), are disproportionately affected by the HIV epidemic. A community-led programmatic mapping and population size estimation (PMPSE) was carried out in 651 districts of 32 States and Union Territories of India. The goal was to identify the hotspots, network operators, and estimate the size of key population groups. This involved documenting the known hotspots, visiting them for rapid field assessment through key informants'/ network operators interviews, and identifying additional hotspots/ network operators through the snow-balling approach from the existing hotspots. For each identified hotspot, network operator, and village, size of each key population group was estimated after adjusting for the duplications and overlaps. These estimates were then aggregated to arrive at district, State, and ultimately national-level estimates. PMPSE estimated a total of 9,95,499 (9,02,277-10,88,712) FSWs, 3,51,020 (3,13,860-3,88,175) MSM, 2,88,717 (2,53,024-3,24,407) PWIDs, and 96,193 (85,206-1,07,174) H/TG individuals. The number of FSWs per 1000 adult women in different States/Union Territories (UT) varied from 0.34 to 17.25; MSM estimates ranged from 0.07 to 7.35 per 1000 adult men, H/TG persons ranged from 0.03 to 2.75 per 1000 adult men, and PWIDs ranged from 0.01 to 31.30 per 1000 adult men. Additionally, approximately 14% of FSWs, 7% of MSM, and 8% of H/TG individuals were estimated to operate exclusively through network operators. The community-led PMPSE has updated the size estimates for FSWs, MSM, PWIDs, and H/TG individuals at a granular level. This approach has emphatically quantified the presence of network operators. The methodological simplicity of the present round of PMPSE is likely to encourage and facilitate its periodic implementation for better tracking of population level changes in HIV burden based on more reliable denominators.
Authors
- Himanshu Chaturvedi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9395-8522)
- P. V. M. Lakshmi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6921-9794)
- Deepika Joshi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5224-2808)
- Shajan Mathew
- Subrata Biswas (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3827-0615)
- Bhawani Singh Kushwaha (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8832-3626)
- K. Sanjay (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6107-0673)
- Sanjeev Kumar Singh (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4153-6437)
- D. C. S. Reddy (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2397-9971)
- Sanjay Mehendale (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2191-4034)
- Shajy Isac (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4272-7748)
- Jyotsana Pal
- Elangovan Arumugam (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4491-7171)
- Shanta Dutta (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6897-7390)
- Pradeep Kumar (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7638-1263)
- Saiprasad Bhavsar
- Sheela Godbole (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6537-9064)
- Shobini Rajan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6109-538X)
- Nidhi Priyam (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-0209-6829)
- Shreena Ramanathan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8329-1805)
- Akhilesh Srivastava
- Chinmoyee Das (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-8067-4161)
- Lalit Singh Kharayat (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-1651-7098)
- Smruti Vardhan Purohit (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0009-2680-6436)
- Rajatashuvra Adhikary
- Shashi Kant
- Arvind Kumar
- H. Sanayaima Devi
- A. R. Aher
Institutions
- Solid State Physics Laboratory (IN)
- Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (CH)
- International Institute for Population Sciences (IN)
- P. D. Hinduja Hospital and Medical Research Centre (IN)
- Indian Council of Medical Research (IN)
- National Institute of Medical Statistics (IN)
- National Institute of Epidemiology (IN)
- National Institute of Cholera and Enteric Diseases (IN)
- India Health Action Trust (IN)
- Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (IN)
- National AIDS Research Institute (IN)
- World Health Organization - India (IN)
- Regional Institute of Medical Sciences (IN)
- Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (IN)
- Institute of Medical Sciences (IN)
- All India Institute of Medical Sciences (IN)
- Banaras Hindu University (IN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- PLOS Global Public Health
- Published
- 2025-05-07
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0004475
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- HIV, Drug Use, Sexual Risk
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.35