Changes in the geological environment in the territories of mining activities within Pavlohrad-Petropavlivka geological and industrial area

Purpose. The aim of the study is to determine the most vulnerable mine of DTEK PAVLOHRADCOAL PRJSC to hazardous processes based on the analysis of existing processes caused by coal mining activities in the Pavlohrad-Petropavlivka geological-industrial area, with the goal of comparing it to mines with similar technical parameters that have experience in analyzing hazardous geological processes. The methods. A combined approach has been applied to forecast changes in the geological environment of mine fields, incorporating methods like scientific research analysis, technical documentation, and comparative analysis. This approach identifies recurring patterns in similar geological and technical conditions, drawing from past events. The final stage, comparative analysis, helps develop typical scenarios for geological process evolution, enhancing the accuracy of forecasts regarding potential changes in the geological environment. Findings. The analysis of common features in mine field studies has made it possible to form typical scenarios for the development of geological processes, improving the accuracy of forecasts of possible changes in the geological environment. Based on this, the dependence of mine parameters on the area and intensity of the development of hazardous engineering-geological processes on the earth's surface has been determined. The originality. A systematic approach is proposed for the first time, which evaluates recurring patterns in similar conditions, using the experience of past events to forecast hazardous changes in the geological environment within coal mining activities. The relationship between mine parameters and the development of hazardous engineering-geological processes above the mine fields has been determined. Practical implementation. The obtained data can be used for developing risk management strategies at mining enterprises, as well as for environmental and geotechnical studies on the impact of mining activities on the surrounding environment. It can also help in developing measures to minimize their impact and planning safe mining operations while considering potential risks that threaten public safety.