Air–sea interactions amplified by tropical cyclones break the South China Sea summer monsoon

Summer monsoon breaks can have far-reaching impacts by triggering abnormal weather both locally and remotely. However, their formation mechanisms remain incompletely understood, with intraseasonal oscillations (ISOs) widely recognized as a primary driver. This study investigates South China Sea monsoon break events and finds that 72.9% originate from the Philippine Sea, associated with ISOs, while the residual 27.1% are locally generated, which have yet to be elucidated previously. Our results suggest that these locally generated events are often preceded by anomalously active tropical cyclones, which amplify in situ air–sea interaction, inducing SST cooling that increases large-scale atmospheric stability, thereby promoting monsoon break establishment. Moreover, differing from ISO-related monsoon breaks that increase precipitation over the Yangtze River Valley, locally generated breaks induce significant warming over South China. The diverse mechanisms and climate impacts of monsoon breaks revealed in this study may provide new insights for further improvement of subseasonal predictions.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Published
2025-05-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01035-7
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.60

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article

Air–sea interactions amplified by tropical cyclones break the South China Sea summer monsoon

Ke Xu, Riyu Lu, Minghao Bi
2 citations
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
2.60
article

Air–sea interactions amplified by tropical cyclones break the South China Sea summer monsoon

Ke Xu, Riyu Lu, Minghao Bi
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Summer monsoon breaks can have far-reaching impacts by triggering abnormal weather both locally and remotely. However, their formation mechanisms remain incompletely understood, with intraseasonal oscillations (ISOs) widely recognized as a primary driver. This study investigates South China Sea monsoon break events and finds that 72.9% originate from the Philippine Sea, associated with ISOs, while the residual 27.1% are locally generated, which have yet to be elucidated previously. Our results suggest that these locally generated events are often preceded by anomalously active tropical cyclones, which amplify in situ air–sea interaction, inducing SST cooling that increases large-scale atmospheric stability, thereby promoting monsoon break establishment. Moreover, differing from ISO-related monsoon breaks that increase precipitation over the Yangtze River Valley, locally generated breaks induce significant warming over South China. The diverse mechanisms and climate impacts of monsoon breaks revealed in this study may provide new insights for further improvement of subseasonal predictions.

npj Climate and Atmospheric ScienceVol. 8(1)
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Institute of Atmospheric Physics (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Youth Innovation Promotion Association
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 12%
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
2.60
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Air–sea interactions amplified by tropical cyclones break the South China Sea summer monsoon — Ke Xu, Riyu Lu, et al. · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS