Why does AI hinder democratization?

This paper examines the relationship between democratization and the development of AI and information and communication technology (ICT). Our empirical evidence shows that in the past 10 y, the advancement of AI/ICT has hindered the development of democracy in many countries around the world. Given that both the state rulers and civil society groups can use AI/ICT, the key that determines which side would benefit more from the advancement of these technologies hinges upon "technology complementarity." In general, AI/ICT would be more complementary to the government rulers because they are more likely than civil society groups to access various administrative big data. Empirically, we propose three hypotheses and use statistical tests to verify our argument. Theoretically, we prove a proposition, showing that when the above-mentioned complementarity assumption is true, the AI/ICT advancements would enable rulers in authoritarian and fragile democratic countries to achieve better control over civil society forces, which leads to the erosion of democracy. Our analysis explains the recent ominous development in some fragile-democracy countries.

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Publication Details

Journal
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Published
2025-05-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2423266122
Citations
5
Primary Topic
Media Influence and Politics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
21.01

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article

Why does AI hinder democratization?

Chang‐Ching Lin, C. Y. Cyrus Chu, Juin‐jen Chang
5 citations
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Media Influence and Politics
21.01
article

Why does AI hinder democratization?

Chang‐Ching Lin, C. Y. Cyrus Chu, Juin‐jen Chang
article en
5 citations

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between democratization and the development of AI and information and communication technology (ICT). Our empirical evidence shows that in the past 10 y, the advancement of AI/ICT has hindered the development of democracy in many countries around the world. Given that both the state rulers and civil society groups can use AI/ICT, the key that determines which side would benefit more from the advancement of these technologies hinges upon "technology complementarity." In general, AI/ICT would be more complementary to the government rulers because they are more likely than civil society groups to access various administrative big data. Empirically, we propose three hypotheses and use statistical tests to verify our argument. Theoretically, we prove a proposition, showing that when the above-mentioned complementarity assumption is true, the AI/ICT advancements would enable rulers in authoritarian and fragile democratic countries to achieve better control over civil society forces, which leads to the erosion of democracy. Our analysis explains the recent ominous development in some fragile-democracy countries.

Proceedings of the National Academy of SciencesVol. 122(19)
Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica (TW), National Cheng Kung University (TW)
Academia Sinica, National Taiwan University
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Media Influence and Politics
21.01
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