Fiscal Financing and Investment Irreversibility

We examine the macroeconomic, asset pricing, and public debt consequences of deficit financing dividend taxation in a dynamic general equilibrium model featuring partial investment irreversibility. Dividend taxes interact directly with the occasionally-binding irreversibility constraint, generating tax-augmented user-cost and hangover channels that both shape investment and debt-to-output fluctuations and account for a sizeable share of their long-run volatilities. Our analysis further reveals that debt-offsetting dividend tax hikes initially trigger investment inactivity through higher user-costs, followed by a surge driven by intertemporal tax arbitrage and hangover effects. Finally, debt-driven dividend tax rules amplify asset price fluctuations while delivering only modest fiscal revenue changes.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
IMF Working Paper
Published
2025-05-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229008969.001
Primary Topic
Economic Growth and Development
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Fiscal Financing and Investment Irreversibility

Matteo Ghilardi, Roy Zilberman
IMF Working Paper
Economic Growth and Development
article

Fiscal Financing and Investment Irreversibility

Matteo Ghilardi, Roy Zilberman
article en

Abstract

We examine the macroeconomic, asset pricing, and public debt consequences of deficit financing dividend taxation in a dynamic general equilibrium model featuring partial investment irreversibility. Dividend taxes interact directly with the occasionally-binding irreversibility constraint, generating tax-augmented user-cost and hangover channels that both shape investment and debt-to-output fluctuations and account for a sizeable share of their long-run volatilities. Our analysis further reveals that debt-offsetting dividend tax hikes initially trigger investment inactivity through higher user-costs, followed by a surge driven by intertemporal tax arbitrage and hangover effects. Finally, debt-driven dividend tax rules amplify asset price fluctuations while delivering only modest fiscal revenue changes.

IMF Working PaperVol. 2025(083)
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Economic Growth and Development
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