Research on the Evaluation of Urban Green Transportation Development Level in Guangzhou Under the Promotion of New Energy Vehicles

Assessing the urban green transportation development level (UGTDL) is of great significance for addressing traffic issues in megacities and promoting urban sustainable development. An evaluation framework for the UGTDL is proposed based on Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods. Firstly, from both macro and micro perspectives, a comprehensive evaluation indicator system is constructed, covering multiple dimensions such as traffic spatial organization efficiency, green travel, new energy vehicle development, traffic safety, and the traffic environment. Secondly, to address the uncertainties and fuzziness in the evaluation process, the Probability Language Term Set (PLTS) is introduced to represent expert evaluation information, thereby reducing the information loss. Thirdly, the improved Step-wise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA) method is employed to calculate the weights of the indicators, improving the computational efficiency. Finally, the extended Combined Compromise Solution (CoCoSo) method is used to calculate the UGTDL, avoiding the compensatory issues in the traditional decision-making methods. The proposed approach is applied to assess the UGTDL in Guangzhou from 2020 to 2023. The results show that the UGTDL scores for Guangzhou from 2020 to 2023 are 1.6367, 2.2325, 2.1141, and 1.8575, respectively. Sensitivity analysis verifies the effectiveness and stability of the approach. Further obstacle analysis shows that the promotion of new energy vehicles (NEVs) has led to a marginal decrease in the utility of Guangzhou’s UGTDL. In the future, Guangzhou should take further measures to improve the traffic space organization efficiency and traffic safety.