Agent-based modeling of Ethereum consensus short-range reorganization attacks

Blockchain technology establishes trust among participants through technical means. However, some malicious nodes may compromise this trust through short-range reorganization attacks for their interest. This paper develops an agent-based model to systematically analyze Proof-of-Stake short-range reorganization attacks, where three types of agents interact through distributed consensus mechanisms with ex-ante, fine-grained, and ex-post reorganization attack strategies. Through rigorous simulation of agent decision-making dynamics, we identify that: (1) Compared with ex-ante reorganization, the ratio of malicious nodes required for ex-post reorganization is much larger. (2) Increasing the node number increases the difficulty of ex-ante and ex-post reorganization. (3) The number of nodes affects ex-post reorganization attacks more significantly than ex-ante attacks. (4) Fine-grained reorganization significantly reduces attack difficulty