Multi-Decade Variations in Sediment and Nutrient Export in Cascading Developmental Rivers in Southwest China: Impacts of Land Use and Dams

Anthropogenic activities (represented by dams and land use change) and climate change have disrupted the delicate balance between natural and anthropogenic factors affecting riverine material transport, yet their effects across different river basins remain underexplored. This study investigated multi-decade (1980–2023) variations in sediment and particulate carbon (C), nitrogen (N), and phosphorus (P) exports from the Jinsha (JSR) and Jialing River (JLR) basins, two cascading developmental river systems in Southwestern China, and evaluated the cumulative impacts of land use change and dam construction. The results revealed significant decreases in particulate fluxes from both basins, despite stable water discharge. Particulate material fluxes declined by 90.9–99.6% in the JSR (last decade vs. 1980–1989, with an abrupt change occurring during 2002–2003) and by 54.0–79.3% in the JLR (with an abrupt change occurring in 1994). Over time, the influence of precipitation and water discharge on material transport has diminished, whereas land use change and dams have become increasingly dominant. Key drivers include forest expansion, increased impervious surfaces, reservoir construction, and reductions in grassland and farmland; however, there are spatial differences in the relative importance of these drivers. This study provides crucial insights for decision making on regional ecological conservation and cascading development.