Integrative analysis of high-dimensional RCT and RWD subject to censoring and hidden confounding

In this study, we focus on estimating the heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) for survival outcome. The outcome is subject to censoring and the number of covariates is high-dimensional. We utilize data from both the randomized controlled trial (RCT), considered as the gold standard, and real-world data (RWD), possibly affected by hidden confounding factors. To achieve a more efficient HTE estimate, such integrative analysis requires great insight into the data generation mechanism, particularly the accurate characterization of unmeasured confounding effects/bias. With this aim, we propose a penalized-regression-based integrative approach that allows for the simultaneous estimation of parameters, selection of variables, and identification of the existence of unmeasured confounding effects. The consistency, asymptotic normality, and efficiency gains are rigorously established for the proposed estimate. Finally, we apply the proposed method to estimate the HTE of lobar/sublobar resection on the survival of lung cancer patients. The RCT is a multicenter non-inferiority randomized phase 3 trial, and the RWD comes from a clinical oncology cancer registry in the United States. The analysis reveals that the unmeasured confounding exists and the integrative approach does enhance the efficiency for the HTE estimation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Lifetime Data Analysis
Published
2025-04-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10985-025-09654-1
Primary Topic
Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Integrative analysis of high-dimensional RCT and RWD subject to censoring and hidden confounding

Shu Yang, Xin Ye, Xiaofei Wang, Yanyan Liu
Lifetime Data Analysis
Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
article

Integrative analysis of high-dimensional RCT and RWD subject to censoring and hidden confounding

Shu Yang, Xin Ye, Xiaofei Wang, Yanyan Liu
article en

Abstract

In this study, we focus on estimating the heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) for survival outcome. The outcome is subject to censoring and the number of covariates is high-dimensional. We utilize data from both the randomized controlled trial (RCT), considered as the gold standard, and real-world data (RWD), possibly affected by hidden confounding factors. To achieve a more efficient HTE estimate, such integrative analysis requires great insight into the data generation mechanism, particularly the accurate characterization of unmeasured confounding effects/bias. With this aim, we propose a penalized-regression-based integrative approach that allows for the simultaneous estimation of parameters, selection of variables, and identification of the existence of unmeasured confounding effects. The consistency, asymptotic normality, and efficiency gains are rigorously established for the proposed estimate. Finally, we apply the proposed method to estimate the HTE of lobar/sublobar resection on the survival of lung cancer patients. The RCT is a multicenter non-inferiority randomized phase 3 trial, and the RWD comes from a clinical oncology cancer registry in the United States. The analysis reveals that the unmeasured confounding exists and the integrative approach does enhance the efficiency for the HTE estimation.

Lifetime Data AnalysisVol. 31(3)
North Carolina State University (US), Duke University (US), Guangdong University Of Finances and Economics (CN), Wuhan University (CN), Guangdong University of Finance (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences, National Institute on Aging
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
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