Differential effects of temperature on multiple components of fitness in a modular animal reveal how temperature affects reproductive capacity

Abstract Thermal performance curves (TPCs) are important tools for predicting the sensitivity of populations to climate change. However, the interactive ways that temperature affects multiple life‐history components lead to different fitness outcomes. These interactions are poorly understood for modular animals, especially over the lifespan of individual colonies, which limits our capacity to connect physiological and demographic responses. The goal of this study was to assess and compare the relationships between temperature and different life‐history components in a modular animal to reveal the mechanisms underlying TPCs for fitness. We reared replicated clones of the marine bryozoan Bugula neritina across a thermal gradient (16 values) ranging from 23 to 32°C, which reflected the upper thermal range of seasonal variation in the field. TPCs were constructed for survival (measured as zooids states within a colony), growth rate, development to reproductive maturity and reproductive capacity, which were measured over much of the realized lifespan expected under field conditions (~30 days). The effect of temperature was more acute on zooid states rather than whole‐colony survival, and increased temperature increased the frequency of polypide regression. Most colonies reached reproductive maturity up to ~30°C, but growth rate and reproduction decreased at temperatures beyond ~25°C. The decline in reproductive capacity over temperatures above ~25°C was then due to the decline in the production of zooids capable of brooding embryos and zooids transitioning to regressed states up until about 30°C and transitioning to dead state beyond that. Higher temperatures are often considered to affect reproduction by interfering with gametogenesis and post‐zygotic pathways, but in modular animals, changes in growth rate and module states could indirectly cause temperature sensitivity of reproduction. Our study has implications for the role of temperature in driving the sampled population's dynamics by setting the number of generations that occur during the time window when temperatures are conducive to reproduction. Our results also have implications for the generality and predictability of temperature on population persistence across unitary and modular animals. Read the free Plain Language Summary for this article on the Journal blog.