Validating DSGE Models Through SVARs Under Imperfect Information

ABSTRACT We study the ability of SVARs to match impulse responses of a well‐established DSGE model where the information of agents can be imperfect. We derive conditions for the solution of a linearized NK‐DSGE model to be invertible given this information set. In the absence of invertibility, an approximate measure is constructed. An SVAR is estimated using artificial data generated from the model and three forms of identification restrictions: zero, sign and bounds on the forecast error variance. We demonstrate that a VAR may not recover a subset of structural shocks when imperfect information causes the underlying model to be non‐invertible.

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Publication Details

Journal
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Published
2025-04-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12683
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Validating DSGE Models Through SVARs Under Imperfect Information

Paul Levine, Joseph Pearlman, Alessio Volpicella, Bo Yang
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Validating DSGE Models Through SVARs Under Imperfect Information

Paul Levine, Joseph Pearlman, Alessio Volpicella, Bo Yang
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT We study the ability of SVARs to match impulse responses of a well‐established DSGE model where the information of agents can be imperfect. We derive conditions for the solution of a linearized NK‐DSGE model to be invertible given this information set. In the absence of invertibility, an approximate measure is constructed. An SVAR is estimated using artificial data generated from the model and three forms of identification restrictions: zero, sign and bounds on the forecast error variance. We demonstrate that a VAR may not recover a subset of structural shocks when imperfect information causes the underlying model to be non‐invertible.

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and StatisticsVol. 87(6)
City, University of London (GB), University of Pavia (IT), University of Surrey (GB), Swansea University (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 93%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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