Data-Driven Risk Warning of Electricity Sales Companies in the Whole Business Process

As China’s power market reforms deepen, the scale of market operations and the number of participants have reached new highs, introducing increasingly complex threats and heightened risk scenarios. Traditional risk early warning systems for electricity sales companies are heavily influenced by subjective factors, incomplete data, and poor real-time performance, which cannot meet the requirements of sustainable development. To achieve efficient, full-chain, and sustainable risk control, this paper proposes a data-driven risk warning method for electricity sales companies, encompassing the entire sales process. Firstly, based on data correlations across the electricity sales process, appropriate data sources for risk warnings are identified. Key elements are then extracted using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), while historical business data is adaptively clustered, with risk warning levels classified using the Adaptive Sparrow Optimization Density Peak Clustering Algorithm (DPC-SSA). Lastly, dynamic risk warnings are generated through the stacking identification model. The effectiveness and practicality of the proposed method are validated through an analysis using real data from a provincial power trading management platform.

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Publication Details

Journal
Sustainability
Published
2025-04-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/su17093884
Primary Topic
Risk and Safety Analysis
Type
article
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article

Data-Driven Risk Warning of Electricity Sales Companies in the Whole Business Process

Haiwei Liu, Rong Zheng, Zhijun Qin, Biyun Chen et al.
Sustainability
Risk and Safety Analysis
article

Data-Driven Risk Warning of Electricity Sales Companies in the Whole Business Process

Haiwei Liu, Rong Zheng, Zhijun Qin, Biyun Chen, T. Fu, Zhe Lin, Liu Wei
article en

Abstract

As China’s power market reforms deepen, the scale of market operations and the number of participants have reached new highs, introducing increasingly complex threats and heightened risk scenarios. Traditional risk early warning systems for electricity sales companies are heavily influenced by subjective factors, incomplete data, and poor real-time performance, which cannot meet the requirements of sustainable development. To achieve efficient, full-chain, and sustainable risk control, this paper proposes a data-driven risk warning method for electricity sales companies, encompassing the entire sales process. Firstly, based on data correlations across the electricity sales process, appropriate data sources for risk warnings are identified. Key elements are then extracted using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), while historical business data is adaptively clustered, with risk warning levels classified using the Adaptive Sparrow Optimization Density Peak Clustering Algorithm (DPC-SSA). Lastly, dynamic risk warnings are generated through the stacking identification model. The effectiveness and practicality of the proposed method are validated through an analysis using real data from a provincial power trading management platform.

SustainabilityVol. 17(9)
Guangxi University (CN), China Southern Power Grid (China) (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Risk and Safety Analysis
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Data-Driven Risk Warning of Electricity Sales Companies in the Whole Business Process — Haiwei Liu, Rong Zheng, et al. · Sustainability (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS