Market Timing and Managerial Talent

Abstract Market timing is a well-documented phenomenon in financial markets. This paper tests whether managers with heterogeneous talents and qualities affect capital issuance timing differently. I find that skilled managers raise more capital (especially equity) when the market is overpriced, compared to unskilled managers. However, capable managers are less willing to issue equity when firms have high growth potential and are reluctant to share their future success with newcomers. Additionally, I found no significant effect of managerial ability on the relationship between market misvaluation and subsequent corporate investment. Overall, consistent with the market timing hypothesis, the results suggest that talented managers are more likely to time the market, but they do not increase corporate investment in response to additional funding.

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Publication Details

Journal
Asia-Pacific Financial Markets
Published
2025-04-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10690-025-09529-3
Primary Topic
Corporate Finance and Governance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Market Timing and Managerial Talent

Keming Li
Asia-Pacific Financial Markets
Corporate Finance and Governance
article

Market Timing and Managerial Talent

Keming Li
article en

Abstract

Abstract Market timing is a well-documented phenomenon in financial markets. This paper tests whether managers with heterogeneous talents and qualities affect capital issuance timing differently. I find that skilled managers raise more capital (especially equity) when the market is overpriced, compared to unskilled managers. However, capable managers are less willing to issue equity when firms have high growth potential and are reluctant to share their future success with newcomers. Additionally, I found no significant effect of managerial ability on the relationship between market misvaluation and subsequent corporate investment. Overall, consistent with the market timing hypothesis, the results suggest that talented managers are more likely to time the market, but they do not increase corporate investment in response to additional funding.

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets
Texas A&M University – San Antonio (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Corporate Finance and Governance
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