Predicting small millets productivity based on machine learning models: A comprehensive study

People in rural and urban areas prefer small millet-based food products and they are more popular in markets. Before the green revolution, little millets were widely cultivated for food and fodder, but dietary preferences changed and they were no longer widely planted. Machine learning techniques have been applied in agriculture recently to analyze and predict crop yields. A major concern for farmers during the growing season is estimating their expected yield. In this study, data on area and production for small millets in Tamil Nadu are collected over 50 years. The machine learning models are used to predict productivity with the available small millets dataset. Four different machine learning models are used to estimate small millets productivity. With an accuracy of 95.46 %, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.0709, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.014 and an R-square value of 0.94, the Random Forest regressor performed better than the other models. The current research helps the farmers in mitigating potential losses, as their financial stability and productivity output are closely related. Additionally, the study provides valuable insights for better planning and implementation. Furthermore, the Random Forest regressor offers insightful information to help farmers maximize their farming techniques and make well-informed judgments.

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Publication Details

Journal
Plant Science Today
Published
2025-04-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.14719/pst.7933
Primary Topic
Smart Agriculture and AI
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Predicting small millets productivity based on machine learning models: A comprehensive study

Muthuswamy Kalpana, M. Rajavel, Sivakumar Krupesh, Vasudevan Balamurugan et al.
Plant Science Today
Smart Agriculture and AI
article

Predicting small millets productivity based on machine learning models: A comprehensive study

Muthuswamy Kalpana, M. Rajavel, Sivakumar Krupesh, Vasudevan Balamurugan, Natarajan Balakrishnan, R. Dhivya, Amoghavarsha Suresh, Narasimma Bharathi Venkatesa Palanichamy
article en

Abstract

People in rural and urban areas prefer small millet-based food products and they are more popular in markets. Before the green revolution, little millets were widely cultivated for food and fodder, but dietary preferences changed and they were no longer widely planted. Machine learning techniques have been applied in agriculture recently to analyze and predict crop yields. A major concern for farmers during the growing season is estimating their expected yield. In this study, data on area and production for small millets in Tamil Nadu are collected over 50 years. The machine learning models are used to predict productivity with the available small millets dataset. Four different machine learning models are used to estimate small millets productivity. With an accuracy of 95.46 %, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.0709, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.014 and an R-square value of 0.94, the Random Forest regressor performed better than the other models. The current research helps the farmers in mitigating potential losses, as their financial stability and productivity output are closely related. Additionally, the study provides valuable insights for better planning and implementation. Furthermore, the Random Forest regressor offers insightful information to help farmers maximize their farming techniques and make well-informed judgments.

Plant Science Today
Tamil Nadu Agricultural University (IN), Orthopaedic Research Group (IN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Smart Agriculture and AI
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