Electric Load Forecasting Based on Artificial Intelligence

In modern power systems, the stable operation of the power grid depends on accurate electrical load forecasting. Especially against the backdrop of the country's "dual carbon" goal, accurate electrical load forecasting can effectively verify the security and economic efficiency of the operation of the electrical system. Based on this background, firstly, the basic situation of load forecasting in today's electrical systems is expounded. Then, a load forecasting method ground on the Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM) optimized by the Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization (QPSO) algorithm is put forward. Through case studies, in order to reflect the prediction accuracy of these models, the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of different models are compared. Ultimately, according to the results, we find that the hyperparameter load forecasting method ground on the Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM) optimized by the Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization (QPSO) algorithm performs better than other methods. Its RMSE and MAPE values are the smallest among all the models, indicating that the load forecasting method ground on the Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM) optimized by the Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization (QPSO) algorithm has a higher learning rate and stronger data processing ability compared with the several methods studied by us.

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Publication Details

Journal
Applied and Computational Engineering
Published
2025-04-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54254/2755-2721/2025.kl22380
Primary Topic
Geoscience and Mining Technology
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Electric Load Forecasting Based on Artificial Intelligence

Yanji Zhu
Applied and Computational Engineering
Geoscience and Mining Technology
article

Electric Load Forecasting Based on Artificial Intelligence

Yanji Zhu
article en

Abstract

In modern power systems, the stable operation of the power grid depends on accurate electrical load forecasting. Especially against the backdrop of the country's "dual carbon" goal, accurate electrical load forecasting can effectively verify the security and economic efficiency of the operation of the electrical system. Based on this background, firstly, the basic situation of load forecasting in today's electrical systems is expounded. Then, a load forecasting method ground on the Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM) optimized by the Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization (QPSO) algorithm is put forward. Through case studies, in order to reflect the prediction accuracy of these models, the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of different models are compared. Ultimately, according to the results, we find that the hyperparameter load forecasting method ground on the Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM) optimized by the Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization (QPSO) algorithm performs better than other methods. Its RMSE and MAPE values are the smallest among all the models, indicating that the load forecasting method ground on the Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM) optimized by the Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization (QPSO) algorithm has a higher learning rate and stronger data processing ability compared with the several methods studied by us.

Applied and Computational EngineeringVol. 149(1)
Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 90%
Geoscience and Mining Technology
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