Stock Forecasting Based on Random Forest and ARIMA Models

In this paper, a Random Forest model and an ARIMA model are established to predict stock closing prices. The data from six Chinese stocksShandong Gold Mining, WanYi Technology, iFLYTEK, Space-Time Technology, TianYue Advanced Materials Technology, and Harmontronics Intelligent Technologyspanning from January 1, 2024, to December 30, 2024, are used. The results show that these two models are more accurate in short-term stock price prediction. By combining and comparing these two models, we conclude that the Random Forest model predicts the next day's closing price highly accurately and has obvious advantages in ultra-short-term trading. This offers insights for investors and related researchers in pursuit of short-term profits.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Theoretical and Natural Science
Published
2025-04-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54254/2753-8818/2025.ch22310
Primary Topic
Advanced Algorithms and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Stock Forecasting Based on Random Forest and ARIMA Models

Tianji Cai
Theoretical and Natural Science
Advanced Algorithms and Applications
article

Stock Forecasting Based on Random Forest and ARIMA Models

Tianji Cai
article en

Abstract

In this paper, a Random Forest model and an ARIMA model are established to predict stock closing prices. The data from six Chinese stocksShandong Gold Mining, WanYi Technology, iFLYTEK, Space-Time Technology, TianYue Advanced Materials Technology, and Harmontronics Intelligent Technologyspanning from January 1, 2024, to December 30, 2024, are used. The results show that these two models are more accurate in short-term stock price prediction. By combining and comparing these two models, we conclude that the Random Forest model predicts the next day's closing price highly accurately and has obvious advantages in ultra-short-term trading. This offers insights for investors and related researchers in pursuit of short-term profits.

Theoretical and Natural ScienceVol. 101(1)
Hangzhou Normal University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Advanced Algorithms and Applications
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.