Series Crime Prediction Research Based on Regional Weighted Models

Serial criminal cases directly threaten the security of the people and even the country and society. At present, grass-roots public security work still adopts the method of "handling cases by experience", which is difficult to popularize. In view of this situation, combined with the existing scientific researches, we innovate and optimize the regional coverage weighted model on the basis of the technology of criminal geographical portrait and the high regularity of serial criminal cases. Through data fitting and geographical risk probability weighting, we have carried out geometric mapping and constructed a visual serial criminal prediction models, which effectively break through the singularity and limitations of the original crime prediction and significantly improve the prediction accuracy.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Education Humanities and Social Sciences
Published
2025-04-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54097/4sbbeh96
Primary Topic
Crime Patterns and Interventions
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Series Crime Prediction Research Based on Regional Weighted Models

Xueyan Zhang, Zhijie Sun
Journal of Education Humanities and Social Sciences
Crime Patterns and Interventions
article

Series Crime Prediction Research Based on Regional Weighted Models

Xueyan Zhang, Zhijie Sun
article en

Abstract

Serial criminal cases directly threaten the security of the people and even the country and society. At present, grass-roots public security work still adopts the method of "handling cases by experience", which is difficult to popularize. In view of this situation, combined with the existing scientific researches, we innovate and optimize the regional coverage weighted model on the basis of the technology of criminal geographical portrait and the high regularity of serial criminal cases. Through data fitting and geographical risk probability weighting, we have carried out geometric mapping and constructed a visual serial criminal prediction models, which effectively break through the singularity and limitations of the original crime prediction and significantly improve the prediction accuracy.

Journal of Education Humanities and Social SciencesVol. 50
Ministry of Public Security of the People's Republic of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 89%
Crime Patterns and Interventions
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