On the risk commonality of US tech firms: Relevance and determinants

Technology firms serve as critical data and service intermediaries, which may pose new challenges to financial stability. We apply market-based systemic risk measures designed initially for financial firms to measure the risk commonality of tech firms included in the S&P 500 index. First, we find that, on average, the level of total risk commonality of tech firms is larger than for non-tech firms/non-banks. The difference between the level of risk commonality of tech firms and non-tech firms/non-banks increases over time. Second, we observe a high intra-group risk commonality for tech firms. Third, we find that the intra-group risk commonality of tech firms is driven to a larger extent by exposure to systematic risk factors than this is the case for banks. Fourth, in contrast, there is weak evidence that the inter-group risk commonality of tech firms is driven to a larger extent by non-systematic risk factors (e.g., direct business relationships) than this is the case for banks. Fifth, we hardly find balance-sheet or other firm-specific variables that are significantly associated with the level of total risk commonality of tech firms. Our results indicate that regulators should also look for risk accumulation outside the traditional financial world. • Tech firms serve as data and service intermediaries posing challenges on financial stability • Tech firms exhibit higher risk commonality than average non-tech firms/non-banks • Hardly any firm-specific variables are associated with total risk commonality

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Publication Details

Journal
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Published
2025-04-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123968
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
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article

On the risk commonality of US tech firms: Relevance and determinants

Kai Rohde, Peter Grundke, Valeriya Dinger
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

On the risk commonality of US tech firms: Relevance and determinants

Kai Rohde, Peter Grundke, Valeriya Dinger
article en

Abstract

Technology firms serve as critical data and service intermediaries, which may pose new challenges to financial stability. We apply market-based systemic risk measures designed initially for financial firms to measure the risk commonality of tech firms included in the S&P 500 index. First, we find that, on average, the level of total risk commonality of tech firms is larger than for non-tech firms/non-banks. The difference between the level of risk commonality of tech firms and non-tech firms/non-banks increases over time. Second, we observe a high intra-group risk commonality for tech firms. Third, we find that the intra-group risk commonality of tech firms is driven to a larger extent by exposure to systematic risk factors than this is the case for banks. Fourth, in contrast, there is weak evidence that the inter-group risk commonality of tech firms is driven to a larger extent by non-systematic risk factors (e.g., direct business relationships) than this is the case for banks. Fifth, we hardly find balance-sheet or other firm-specific variables that are significantly associated with the level of total risk commonality of tech firms. Our results indicate that regulators should also look for risk accumulation outside the traditional financial world. • Tech firms serve as data and service intermediaries posing challenges on financial stability • Tech firms exhibit higher risk commonality than average non-tech firms/non-banks • Hardly any firm-specific variables are associated with total risk commonality

Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeVol. 217
Osnabrück University (DE), Hochschule Osnabrück (DE)
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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On the risk commonality of US tech firms: Relevance and determinants — Kai Rohde, Peter Grundke, et al. · Technological Forecasting and Social Change (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS