Urbanization brings earlier onset of summertime compound heatwaves

Urbanization is revealed to cause more frequent and hotter day-night compound heatwaves, yet its impact on their onset remains unclear. This study compares summertime compound heatwaves in 722 urban-rural station pairs globally on an event-by-event basis during 1971-2017 and attributes their difference to numerous urbanization and climatological factors using interpretable machine learning methods. Here we find a discernible earlier onset (0.23 ± 0.04 days) of compound heatwaves in cities compared to rural areas. The magnitude of this influence is primarily determined by urban building volume and height rather than the artificial impervious surface fraction, and is exacerbated by climates characterized by warm night and ample daytime solar radiation. Taller buildings significantly advance onset in cloudy, warm, and humid climates, while larger building volumes lead to earlier onset of compound heatwaves across nearly all climates. Our findings suggest that cities, particularly those with large building volumes, should issue heatwave warnings earlier. Cities across the globe experience earlier onset of day-night compound heatwaves than rural areas, probably because they host taller and larger buildings, according to an analysis of meteorological data from 722 urban-rural stations over 1971-2017.

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Publication Details

Journal
Communications Earth & Environment
Published
2025-04-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02315-z
Citations
5
Primary Topic
Climate Change and Health Impacts
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
6.00

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article

Urbanization brings earlier onset of summertime compound heatwaves

Peng Ji, Qibo Xu, Xinyi Zhang, Xing Yuan
5 citations
Communications Earth & Environment
Climate Change and Health Impacts
6.00
article

Urbanization brings earlier onset of summertime compound heatwaves

Peng Ji, Qibo Xu, Xinyi Zhang, Xing Yuan
article en
5 citations

Abstract

Urbanization is revealed to cause more frequent and hotter day-night compound heatwaves, yet its impact on their onset remains unclear. This study compares summertime compound heatwaves in 722 urban-rural station pairs globally on an event-by-event basis during 1971-2017 and attributes their difference to numerous urbanization and climatological factors using interpretable machine learning methods. Here we find a discernible earlier onset (0.23 ± 0.04 days) of compound heatwaves in cities compared to rural areas. The magnitude of this influence is primarily determined by urban building volume and height rather than the artificial impervious surface fraction, and is exacerbated by climates characterized by warm night and ample daytime solar radiation. Taller buildings significantly advance onset in cloudy, warm, and humid climates, while larger building volumes lead to earlier onset of compound heatwaves across nearly all climates. Our findings suggest that cities, particularly those with large building volumes, should issue heatwave warnings earlier. Cities across the globe experience earlier onset of day-night compound heatwaves than rural areas, probably because they host taller and larger buildings, according to an analysis of meteorological data from 722 urban-rural stations over 1971-2017.

Communications Earth & EnvironmentVol. 6(1)
California NanoSystems Institute (US), University of California, Los Angeles (US), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN), Institute of Atmospheric Physics (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Government of Jiangsu Province, Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province, EarthLab, University of Washington
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Climate Change and Health Impacts
6.00
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Urbanization brings earlier onset of summertime compound heatwaves — Peng Ji, Qibo Xu, et al. · Communications Earth & Environment (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS