FROM SOFT BALANCING TO BANDWAGONING

Using the soft balancing concept and a comparative methodology, I analyze the diplomatic strategies mobilized by Brazil towards the US in South America from 2003 to 2022. The empirical results suggest that in the last two decades, Brazil moved away from the role of “soft balancer” during Lula’s and Rousseff’s mandates (2003–2016) to a “tactical convergence” in Temer's (2016–2018) to “bandwagoning” in Bolsonaro's (2019–2022). The main drivers for these different strategies are domestic and regional changes. Approaching this thematic contributes to a better understanding of Brazilian regional priorities and abilities to deal with the US in the region.

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Publication Details

Journal
Austral Brazilian Journal of Strategy & International Relations
Published
2025-03-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.22456/2238-6912.142358
Primary Topic
Transport and Economic Policies
Type
article
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article

FROM SOFT BALANCING TO BANDWAGONING

Augusto Leal Rinaldi
Austral Brazilian Journal of Strategy & International Relations
Transport and Economic Policies
article

FROM SOFT BALANCING TO BANDWAGONING

Augusto Leal Rinaldi
article en

Abstract

Using the soft balancing concept and a comparative methodology, I analyze the diplomatic strategies mobilized by Brazil towards the US in South America from 2003 to 2022. The empirical results suggest that in the last two decades, Brazil moved away from the role of “soft balancer” during Lula’s and Rousseff’s mandates (2003–2016) to a “tactical convergence” in Temer's (2016–2018) to “bandwagoning” in Bolsonaro's (2019–2022). The main drivers for these different strategies are domestic and regional changes. Approaching this thematic contributes to a better understanding of Brazilian regional priorities and abilities to deal with the US in the region.

Austral Brazilian Journal of Strategy & International RelationsVol. 13(26)
Pontifícia Universidade Católica de São Paulo (BR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Transport and Economic Policies
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