An improved adaptive navigation control model for state prediction of the forward vessel

Aiming at the problem of poor model prediction performance caused by the uncertainty of the forward vessel's speed in the ship adaptive navigation system, temporal convolution network (TCN) is used to predict future acceleration based on the actual speed and acceleration of the forward vessel, and the predicted acceleration is used as a disturbance to construct improved forward vessel adaptive navigation state prediction model.Historical data verification shows that compared to the Univariate long short-term memory network model (LSTM), the new model has an R<sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup> value 0.75 and an RMSE value of 2.48, indicating that the new model has better fit and higher prediction accuracy.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-03-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/itoec63606.2025.10968428
Primary Topic
Maritime Navigation and Safety
Type
article
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article

An improved adaptive navigation control model for state prediction of the forward vessel

Qun Dai, Shukui Zhang, Yiming Zhang
Maritime Navigation and Safety
article

An improved adaptive navigation control model for state prediction of the forward vessel

Qun Dai, Shukui Zhang, Yiming Zhang
article en

Abstract

Aiming at the problem of poor model prediction performance caused by the uncertainty of the forward vessel's speed in the ship adaptive navigation system, temporal convolution network (TCN) is used to predict future acceleration based on the actual speed and acceleration of the forward vessel, and the predicted acceleration is used as a disturbance to construct improved forward vessel adaptive navigation state prediction model.Historical data verification shows that compared to the Univariate long short-term memory network model (LSTM), the new model has an R<sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup> value 0.75 and an RMSE value of 2.48, indicating that the new model has better fit and higher prediction accuracy.

Jiangsu Maritime Institute (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 89%
Maritime Navigation and Safety
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An improved adaptive navigation control model for state prediction of the forward vessel — Qun Dai, Shukui Zhang, et al. · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS