The conflict between personal interests and group interests during a pandemic

We use online experiments to study how the public behaves during a major public health event (e.g., a pandemic). For a new infectious disease, decisions by the public are highly dependent on the warning information that they receive. We study the impact of an early warning system and information intervention on public behavior. Early warning systems and different types of information sharing can be adapted to influence the decisions by the public between their own interests and the interests of society. Even when a pandemic is severe and it is more beneficial to stay at home for society, some people tend to continue working, leading to a more rapid spread of the pandemic. Once the pandemic is brought under control, a number of people may still avoid going to work, slowing economic recovery. We find that if the government does not intervene and direct people, they will behave selfishly, which is detrimental to the overall interests of society. By intervention, the government can improve the welfare of society.

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Publication Details

Journal
Risk Analysis
Published
2025-04-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70038
Primary Topic
Misinformation and Its Impacts
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The conflict between personal interests and group interests during a pandemic

Jingnan Chen, Todd R. Kaplan, Di Mu
Risk Analysis
Misinformation and Its Impacts
article

The conflict between personal interests and group interests during a pandemic

Jingnan Chen, Todd R. Kaplan, Di Mu
article en

Abstract

We use online experiments to study how the public behaves during a major public health event (e.g., a pandemic). For a new infectious disease, decisions by the public are highly dependent on the warning information that they receive. We study the impact of an early warning system and information intervention on public behavior. Early warning systems and different types of information sharing can be adapted to influence the decisions by the public between their own interests and the interests of society. Even when a pandemic is severe and it is more beneficial to stay at home for society, some people tend to continue working, leading to a more rapid spread of the pandemic. Once the pandemic is brought under control, a number of people may still avoid going to work, slowing economic recovery. We find that if the government does not intervene and direct people, they will behave selfishly, which is detrimental to the overall interests of society. By intervention, the government can improve the welfare of society.

Risk AnalysisVol. 45(9)
Shanghai University of Finance and Economics (CN), University of Exeter (GB), University of Haifa (IL)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 89%
Misinformation and Its Impacts
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The conflict between personal interests and group interests during a pandemic — Jingnan Chen, Todd R. Kaplan, et al. · Risk Analysis (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS