Costs of transitioning the livestock sector to net-zero emissions under future climates

Land managers are challenged with the need to balance priorities in production, greenhouse gas (GHG) abatement, biodiversity and social license to operate. Here, we develop a transdisciplinary approach for prioritising land use, illustrated by co-designing pathways for transitioning farming systems to net-zero emissions. We show that few interventions enhanced productivity and profitability while reducing GHG emissions. Antimethanogenic feed supplements and planting trees afforded the greatest mitigation, while revenue diversification with wind turbines and adoption of livestock genotypes with enhanced feed-conversion efficiency (FCE) were most conducive to improving profit. Serendipitously, the intervention with the lowest social licence-continuing the status quo and purchasing carbon credits to offset emissions-was also the most costly pathway to transition to net-zero. In contrast, stacking several interventions to mitigate enteric methane, improve FCE and sequester carbon entirely negated enterprise emissions in a profitable way. We conclude that costs of transitioning to net-zero are lower when interventions are bundled and/or evoke productivity co-benefits.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Communications
Published
2025-04-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-59203-5
Citations
20
Primary Topic
Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
34.33

Funders

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article

Costs of transitioning the livestock sector to net-zero emissions under future climates

Brendan Richard Cullen, Margaret Ayre, Bill Malcolm, K Christie et al.
20 citations
Nature Communications
Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
34.33
article

Costs of transitioning the livestock sector to net-zero emissions under future climates

Brendan Richard Cullen, Margaret Ayre, Bill Malcolm, K Christie, Franco Bilotto, Matthew Tom Harrison, Nicoli Barnes
article en
20 citations

Abstract

Land managers are challenged with the need to balance priorities in production, greenhouse gas (GHG) abatement, biodiversity and social license to operate. Here, we develop a transdisciplinary approach for prioritising land use, illustrated by co-designing pathways for transitioning farming systems to net-zero emissions. We show that few interventions enhanced productivity and profitability while reducing GHG emissions. Antimethanogenic feed supplements and planting trees afforded the greatest mitigation, while revenue diversification with wind turbines and adoption of livestock genotypes with enhanced feed-conversion efficiency (FCE) were most conducive to improving profit. Serendipitously, the intervention with the lowest social licence-continuing the status quo and purchasing carbon credits to offset emissions-was also the most costly pathway to transition to net-zero. In contrast, stacking several interventions to mitigate enteric methane, improve FCE and sequester carbon entirely negated enterprise emissions in a profitable way. We conclude that costs of transitioning to net-zero are lower when interventions are bundled and/or evoke productivity co-benefits.

Nature CommunicationsVol. 16(1)
University of Tasmania (AU), Federation University (AU), The University of Melbourne (AU), Cornell University (US), AgResearch (NZ), New York State College of Agriculture & Life Sciences (US), Ecosystem Sciences (AU)
Meat and Livestock Australia, University of Tasmania
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
34.33
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