Economic policy uncertainty and the risk of Chinese commercial banks

• The findings indicate that an increase in economic policy uncertainty significantly exacerbates operational and credit risks of banks, while simultaneously reducing their risk-taking levels. • This effect is more pronounced in smaller and medium-sized banks. • Furthermore, the advancement of digital transformation in banks can effectively mitigate the impact of economic policy uncertainty. Based on panel data from 110 Chinese commercial banks over the period 2010–2021, this study empirically analyzes the impact of economic policy uncertainty on various dimensions of risk in Chinese commercial banks and its moderating effects. The findings indicate that an increase in economic policy uncertainty significantly exacerbates operational and credit risks of banks, while simultaneously reducing their risk-taking levels. This effect is more pronounced in smaller and medium-sized banks. Furthermore, the advancement of digital transformation in banks can effectively mitigate the impact of economic policy uncertainty.

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Publication Details

Journal
Finance research letters
Published
2025-04-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2025.107437
Citations
5
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
15.66
Controls
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article

Economic policy uncertainty and the risk of Chinese commercial banks

Cody Yu‐Ling Hsiao, Wei-Shu Jing
5 citations
Finance research letters
Market Dynamics and Volatility
15.66
article

Economic policy uncertainty and the risk of Chinese commercial banks

Cody Yu‐Ling Hsiao, Wei-Shu Jing
article en
5 citations

Abstract

• The findings indicate that an increase in economic policy uncertainty significantly exacerbates operational and credit risks of banks, while simultaneously reducing their risk-taking levels. • This effect is more pronounced in smaller and medium-sized banks. • Furthermore, the advancement of digital transformation in banks can effectively mitigate the impact of economic policy uncertainty. Based on panel data from 110 Chinese commercial banks over the period 2010–2021, this study empirically analyzes the impact of economic policy uncertainty on various dimensions of risk in Chinese commercial banks and its moderating effects. The findings indicate that an increase in economic policy uncertainty significantly exacerbates operational and credit risks of banks, while simultaneously reducing their risk-taking levels. This effect is more pronounced in smaller and medium-sized banks. Furthermore, the advancement of digital transformation in banks can effectively mitigate the impact of economic policy uncertainty.

Finance research lettersVol. 81
Macau University of Science and Technology (MO), Zhuhai Institute of Advanced Technology (CN), Macao Polytechnic University (MO)
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
15.66
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Economic policy uncertainty and the risk of Chinese commercial banks — Cody Yu‐Ling Hsiao, Wei-Shu Jing · Finance research letters (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS