Share price reactions to tariff imposition announcements during the first Trump administration

This study analyzes the impact of tariff imposition announcements on the stock prices of 1,194 U.S. companies during the first Trump administration, using a unique sample of 4,624 announcements made by or against the U.S. between January 2018 and August 2019. We find that tariff announcements lead to negative (cumulative) average abnormal stock returns. These negative wealth effects occur regardless of whether the Trump administration imposes safeguard tariffs to protect domestic industries or foreign countries announce retaliatory tariffs. Moreover, the adverse impact is primarily driven by announcements involving China, with variations linked to sector-specific, tariff, trade, and firm characteristics. • We analyze tariff imposition announcements under the first Trump administration. • We find negative average abnormal stock returns due to the announcements. • The negative wealth effects are observed for safeguard and retaliatory tariffs. • The negative impact is mostly driven by announcements involving China. • The effect depends on a variety of sector, tariff, trade and firm characteristics.

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Publication Details

Journal
Finance research letters
Published
2025-04-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2025.107381
Citations
18
Primary Topic
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
56.36
Controls
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article

Share price reactions to tariff imposition announcements during the first Trump administration

André Uhde, Benjamin Hippert, Sascha Tobias Wengerek
18 citations
Finance research letters
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
56.36
article

Share price reactions to tariff imposition announcements during the first Trump administration

André Uhde, Benjamin Hippert, Sascha Tobias Wengerek
article en
18 citations

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of tariff imposition announcements on the stock prices of 1,194 U.S. companies during the first Trump administration, using a unique sample of 4,624 announcements made by or against the U.S. between January 2018 and August 2019. We find that tariff announcements lead to negative (cumulative) average abnormal stock returns. These negative wealth effects occur regardless of whether the Trump administration imposes safeguard tariffs to protect domestic industries or foreign countries announce retaliatory tariffs. Moreover, the adverse impact is primarily driven by announcements involving China, with variations linked to sector-specific, tariff, trade, and firm characteristics. • We analyze tariff imposition announcements under the first Trump administration. • We find negative average abnormal stock returns due to the announcements. • The negative wealth effects are observed for safeguard and retaliatory tariffs. • The negative impact is mostly driven by announcements involving China. • The effect depends on a variety of sector, tariff, trade and firm characteristics.

Finance research lettersVol. 80
Paderborn University (DE)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
56.36
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